🚨 XRP BITCOIN 🚨 TRUMP WHAT?! EVERYTHING CHANGES THIS WEEK

By Stock Moe

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Trump Tariffs & Potential Crypto Impact - January 14th Update

Key Concepts:

  • Trump Tariffs: Existing tariffs imposed during the Trump administration, potentially facing legal challenges.
  • Tariff Refunds: Potential refunds to companies if the tariffs are deemed illegal by the Supreme Court.
  • Risk-On Money: Capital flowing into riskier assets like cryptocurrency.
  • Bull Trap: A false signal indicating an upward trend that quickly reverses.
  • Fibonacci Retracement: A technical analysis tool used to identify potential support and resistance levels.
  • EMA (Exponential Moving Average): A type of moving average that gives more weight to recent prices.
  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): A momentum indicator used to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
  • Weekly Candles: A chart representation of price movement over a week, used in technical analysis.

I. Potential Tariff Refund Scenario & Economic Implications

The core discussion revolves around a potential Supreme Court ruling on Wednesday, January 14th, regarding the legality of Trump-era tariffs. The speaker believes the market is being “prepped” for a negative ruling, evidenced by statements from powerful figures (including Trump himself) about having “backup plans.” If the tariffs are deemed illegal, refunds ranging from $100 billion to $200 billion could be issued to companies.

The speaker argues this refunded money could stimulate the economy, potentially leading to “risk-on” investment and lower inflation, ultimately benefiting cryptocurrency. However, a central concern is who will actually receive these refunds. The speaker emphasizes that while companies ostensibly pay the tariffs, the cost is ultimately passed on to consumers through increased prices.

Quote: “They say that companies had to pay all this tariff money, right? All this all the tariffs are set and the companies are in the are the ones paying it. We know, right? Well, it ain't the companies who were paying it.”

The speaker expresses strong dissatisfaction with the likely scenario of companies receiving the refunds despite consumers bearing the initial cost. He argues this is unfair, as companies have already maintained profitability by passing the tariff costs onto consumers. He proposes that refunds should be distributed proportionally to those who paid the tariffs – consumers and companies – based on the percentage each contributed.

II. Concerns Regarding Refund Distribution & Corporate Profitability

The speaker’s primary objection centers on the inequity of refunding companies who have already recovered the tariff costs from consumers. He anticipates that if refunds are issued to companies, their stock prices will likely increase, representing a “handout” at the expense of consumers.

Quote: “So, if that's what they're going to do, which probably they are, expect stocks of those affected by tariffs to go up because they're getting a handout.”

He highlights that most economists agree tariffs are ultimately paid by consumers, and a refund system that solely benefits companies is unjust. He stresses the importance of a fair distribution mechanism, potentially involving direct refunds to consumers or a proportional split between consumers and companies.

III. Potential Impact on Cryptocurrency Markets

Despite the concerns about the tariff refund distribution, the speaker believes cryptocurrency, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin, and Solana, could benefit from the influx of capital resulting from the refunds. He acknowledges the possibility of a “sell the news” event – a temporary price decline following the ruling – but remains optimistic about the long-term potential.

The speaker notes that the Treasury has stated it can cover any tariff refunds, further suggesting preparation for a negative ruling. He believes the market is already pricing in this possibility, with alternative tariff strategies being developed.

IV. Technical Analysis of Key Cryptocurrencies (Weekly Candles)

The speaker provides a technical analysis of five cryptocurrencies using weekly candle charts:

  • Dogecoin (DOGE): Considered the highest risk, requiring a green weekly candle to avoid a “bull trap” and a potential price decline. Key resistance/support levels around the 50 EMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
  • Bitcoin (BTC): Showing positive momentum, with price moving higher despite volatility. A green weekly candle above 86,000-85,000 is needed to confirm the upward trend.
  • Ethereum (ETH): Similar to Bitcoin, exhibiting positive momentum and consolidation. A green weekly candle above the 50 EMA (3250) is desired.
  • XRP: Experienced a significant price drop, forming a potential bearish “shooting star” candle. A green weekly candle above 210 is needed to reverse the negative signal.
  • Solana (SOL): The most positive performer, with a green weekly candle already in place. The speaker is bullish on Solana and plans to increase his investment. Key level to watch is above 137.

He emphasizes the importance of green weekly candles for all cryptocurrencies to confirm the continuation of upward trends. He also mentions the need to get above the 50 RSI and achieve a 5-13 crossover on the weekly chart.

V. Community Engagement & Resources

The speaker promotes his Discord community, offering a 50% discount with code "2026" and a learning tier with code "LEARN" (saving $425). He also highlights a partnership with Kraken exchange, offering 25 free XRP for new users who deposit $100 or more using a specific referral link. He acknowledges and thanks active members of the Discord community by name.


Conclusion:

The speaker anticipates a potentially significant event on Wednesday with the Supreme Court ruling on Trump tariffs. While concerned about the fairness of the potential refund distribution – fearing companies will benefit at the expense of consumers – he believes the resulting influx of capital could positively impact the cryptocurrency market. He provides detailed technical analysis of key cryptocurrencies, emphasizing the importance of monitoring weekly candle patterns and key resistance/support levels. He actively promotes his Discord community and associated resources for further learning and engagement. The overall tone is cautiously optimistic, with a strong emphasis on being prepared for potential market volatility.

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