3 Stocks With CRAZY Potential In November 2025

Key Concepts

• Market Outlook: Historical data suggests strong performance for November and December, especially in years with significant year-to-date S&P 500 gains.
• US-China Trade Deal: A recently finalized deal is expected to boost risk-on sentiment, ease geopolitical risk premiums, and benefit various sectors.
• Rare Earths: Strategic importance for national security and technology, with a long-term thesis for domestic supply chain development despite short-term market fluctuations.
• Nuclear Energy: Identified as a key solution for rising electricity costs and a critical component of the AI arms race, with government support for new plants.
• AI Infrastructure: The growing demand for electricity and space for AI workloads is creating opportunities for specialized infrastructure companies.
• Semiconductor Supply Chain: Companies involved in chip manufacturing, tools, and materials are poised for significant growth due to AI and global expansion.
• Investment Strategy: Emphasis on owning great assets, dollar-cost averaging, and maintaining a cautious bull approach, with optionality for more advanced trading strategies.

Market Context and Year-End Rally Potential

The video begins by analyzing historical market data to assess the likelihood of an up November and a year-end rally.

• November Performance: Historically, November has been the strongest month for the last 10 years, and the second strongest over 20 years.
• Performance in Strong YTD Years: In years where the S&P 500 has already gained over 15% by the end of October (like the current year), November has historically averaged a 2.7% increase, with a median of 2.5%. Markets have ended higher 81% of the time in such scenarios.
• December Performance: December typically shows slightly weaker but still positive performance, averaging a 2% increase with a median of 2.1%, and a win ratio of 71.4%.
• Overall Year-End Rally Odds: For years where the S&P 500 is already up, the last two months (November and December) have historically ended green 95.2% of the time, with 1986 being a notable exception.

Arguments for a Higher Year-End:

• Historical Data: Strong historical precedent for year-end rallies in similar market conditions.
• Capex Heating Up: Significant increases in capital expenditures are observed.
• Rate Cuts: Anticipation of more rate cuts in the coming year, potentially starting in December.
• Dovish Fed Chair: The upcoming Fed chair in May is expected to be very dovish.
• "Money Printer" Policy: Potential for a future Trump administration to implement more expansionary fiscal policies.
• USD Melting: A weakening US dollar can be beneficial for the stock market.
• US-China Trade Deal: Finalization of a major trade deal with China.

Arguments for a Lower Year-End:

• Trump Trade Policy Shifts: Potential for sudden changes in trade policies.
• Powell Signaling Policy Change: Unlikely, as Powell has already downplayed a December rate cut without significant market impact.
• Tax Loss Harvesting: Typically has a minimal impact.
• Unforeseen Black Swan Events: Unpredictable events.

Conclusion on Market Outlook: The speaker argues that bears face significant headwinds, citing the adage "Don't fight the Fed" and noting that bears are currently fighting the Fed, the US dollar, the White House, de-escalating trade policy drama, unprecedented capex, and over 50 years of market data.

Practical Investment Takeaway

The practical takeaway is not to invest recklessly but to be a "cautious bull."

• Core Strategy: Own great assets with conviction, buy steadily over time through dollar-cost averaging, and remain relaxed. This strategy is recommended for 99% of investors to build a strong long-term foundation.
• Advanced Strategies: Momentum trading, squeeze trading, and spec trading can be added for those with higher risk management skills.

US-China Trade Deal Impact

The recent US-China trade deal, signed on November 1st, is highlighted as a significant positive catalyst.

• Shift from April Rhetoric: Contrasts with the fear-mongering and predictions of global trade decoupling seen in April, which led many to sell their 401(k)s at losses.
• Market Rebound: Markets have since rebounded to all-time highs.
• Benefits of the Deal:
  • Risk-On Sentiment Boost: Expected to lead to a broader market rally, benefiting sectors previously hit by tariff uncertainty.
  • Reduced Geopolitical Risk Premiums: Trade-weary capital may rotate back into cyclicals and growth stocks.
  • Relief Rallies: Expected in indices like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow Industrials.
  • VIX Compression: Volatility (VIX) often compresses after such truces, fueling short-term risk-on momentum.
  • Supply Chain Relief: Positive for manufacturing, tech, and EV stocks, including semiconductor plays (Nvidia, AMD, SMCI, Intel), EV/battery producers, and industrial machinery.
  • Agricultural and Commodity Rebound: Expected to benefit energy and agricultural players. Energy names will indirectly benefit from improved global trade flows and freight demand.
  • Confidence and Liquidity Surge: Reduced uncertainty historically encourages corporate capex and buybacks, improving earnings visibility. This supports AI infrastructure, industrial, and shipping logistics names.
  • Strengthened USD Inflows: US markets are seen as a safer destination, attracting global investors.
• Market Psychology Flip: A shift from "decoupling fear" to "stabilization relief," which is crucial for companies that have underperformed the big tech rally. This is expected to broaden the bull market.

Rare Earths: A Strategic Battlefield

The thesis for domestic rare earth stocks is presented, emphasizing their critical role in national security.

• China's Dominance: China controls 85-95% of global rare earth supply and about 80% for the US, creating a vulnerability.
• Essential for Technology: Rare earths are crucial for data centers, batteries, defense systems, aerospace, consumer electronics, medical equipment, and satellites.
• National Security Concern: Dependence on China for rare earths is a significant national security issue.
• Government Support: The Trump administration has supported domestic rare earth suppliers through stakes and financing.
• Popular Stocks: MP Materials (MP), Lithium Americas (LAC), US Rare Earths (USR), American Battery Technology (ABAD).
• Market Volatility: Recent stock spikes occurred when China restricted rare earth exports. De-escalation and the recent US-China deal (suspending restrictions for one year) led to pullbacks.
• Long-Term Thesis Unchanged: The government's commitment to supporting domestic companies and reshoring away from China remains a key driver. The ability of China to suspend rare earths on a whim reinforces the need for a robust domestic industry.
• "Counter China Trade": Rare earths are identified as a key battleground in this ongoing trade dynamic.

Nuclear Energy: Fueling the AI Arms Race

Nuclear energy is presented as a critical solution for energy production costs and a key front in the AI arms race.

• Rising Electricity Costs: Skyrocketing electricity costs make energy production a major issue for AI.
• Nuclear as a Solution: Nuclear energy is a primary way to address this.
• China's Lead: China is far ahead in nuclear reactor construction with 29 under construction.
• US Focus: The Trump administration is focusing on countering this, with plans for new nuclear plants.
• HD Haunt (now IMSR):
  • SPAC Merger: The speaker previously discussed the SPAC HD Haunt merging with Terrestrial Energy as a way to invest in new DOE programs.
  • Predicted Pattern: Anticipated an anticipatory run before the merger, followed by a take-profit period, and then a long-term adjustment to higher value.
  • Outcome: The merger occurred, and the stock is now IMSR on the NASDAQ. The predicted pattern largely materialized: trading under $14, ran to $27, and is now around $17 post-merger.
  • Long-Term Outlook: The speaker argues for a potential bottom around $14-$15, with a bull case for the stock to reach the $20s and $30s by 2026. Updates will be provided to Discord members.

Top Stock Picks for November 2025

The video presents three stocks with "crazy potential" for November 2025.

1. Fermy, Inc. (FRMI)

• Business Model: An AI-focused infrastructure Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) planning to build massive data center campuses powered by on-site energy generation (natural gas, solar, batteries, and next-gen nuclear).
• "Powered Shell Lease" Model: Allows hyperscaler tenants to plug directly into dedicated power capacity, addressing the critical bottleneck of energy demand for AI workloads.
• Key Strengths:
  • Strategic Leadership & Trump Ties: Co-founded by Rick Perry (former US Energy Secretary under Trump, former Governor of Texas). His experience and connections are expected to expedite regulatory processes.
  • Branding and Political Alignment: The "Donald J. Trump Generating Plant" is seen as a strategic branding move to gain political support and media visibility in a pro-energy, pro-infrastructure environment, aligning with "America First" energy policy and reshoring.
  • First Mover Scale & REIT Structure: Vertically integrating real estate, power generation, and data center leasing. The REIT structure could lead to future dividends.
  • Institutional Investor Confidence: Institutional investors participated at IPO around $21 per share, a strong vote of confidence for a pre-revenue company.
  • Macro Relevance: Aligns with the US-China tech rivalry and the push for domestic AI power capacity as a national priority.
• Recent News: Signed two additional nuclear agreements for its Texas campus, aiming to start production of long lead equipment for four Westinghouse AP10000 reactors.
• Risks: Execution, financing, and regulatory hurdles.
• Overall Case: Targets the bottleneck of electricity and space for AI, has strategic leadership with political connections, a unique integrated model, and strong macro relevance.

2. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) - TSM

• Business: The world's largest chip foundry by revenue, serving major tech companies like Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, and Apple.
• Long-Term Conviction: A core portfolio pick, recommended for buy-and-hold strategy despite being at all-time highs.
• Key Strengths:
  • Dominant Foundry: Essential for AI chips (Nvidia H100, Apple M series) and high-performance computing.
  • AI Boom Fuel: The invisible backbone of the AI arms race.
  • Record Growth: Latest earnings showed revenue up over 40% year-over-year, with profits at all-time highs. Capex is expected to explode into 2026.
  • Global Expansion: Building new fabs in Arizona, Japan, and Germany, securing billions in subsidies and reducing geopolitical risks. The China trade deal is expected to further derisk fears around Taiwan.
  • Massive Competitive Moat: Decades of R&D, process leadership (3nm and below), and trust from top clients make it nearly impossible for rivals to catch up.
  • Reasonable Valuation: Trades at a lower multiple than US peers like Nvidia or AMD, offering room for upside.
• Overall Case: A "picks and shovels" play on the entire tech revolution, quietly profiting behind the scenes as AI, EVs, and data centers scale globally.

3. Applied Materials (AMAT)

• Business: Builds the critical tools and equipment that enable chip manufacturing for companies like TSMC, Samsung, and Intel.
• Critical Supply Chain Level: Without AMAT's machines, there is no chip supply.
• Key Strengths:
  • Backbone of Semiconductor Manufacturing: Provides advanced equipment and materials essential for chip production.
  • Riding AI and Foundry Expansion Boom: Every new data center GPU, 3nm fab, and AI wafer buildout directly boosts AMAT's order book.
  • Explosive Demand Visibility: Orders and backlog remain near record highs due to global foundry investments under chip incentive programs.
  • Government Backing: Benefits from US, Japan, and EU chip incentive programs.
  • Diversified Dominance: Leads in logic, memory, display, and packaging equipment, providing balanced exposure across major chip cycles.
  • Strong Financial Momentum: Free cash flow near record levels, expanding margins, and steady buybacks. Management demonstrates capital discipline.
  • Appealing Valuation: Trades well below Nvidia-style multiples despite being a critical supplier to the industry.
• Overall Case: The global AI and chip fabrication race is accelerating, and AMAT is at the center of this capital-intensive boom, making it a compelling "picks and shovels" play with significant upside potential.

Conclusion and Call to Action

The video concludes by reiterating the importance of preparation and timely information in the stock market.

• Discord Membership: A final call for the 25% off Halloween sale on Discord membership, ending tomorrow night.
• Discord Benefits: The Discord community offers day-by-day briefings, key prep, predictions, and alerts, especially valuable during earnings seasons and periods of high catalysts.
• Importance of Preparation: Being prepared with the right information and research is crucial for success in the stock market.
• Link: The link to join Discord is provided in the description.