Unrelenting market negativity bringing about 'real but ignored value', says Jim Cramer
By CNBC Television
Key Concepts:
- Tariffs and their impact on the stock market
- Market sentiment: Negativity vs. underlying value
- Stagflation concerns
- President Trump's stance on tariffs and "flexibility"
- Earnings updates from Nike and FedEx and their implications
- The role of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and interest rates
Market Overview and Sentiment:
- The market experienced a volatile day, initially opening poorly but recovering to close positively. The Dow gained 32 points, the S&P 500 advanced 0.08%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.52%.
- Jim Cramer emphasizes the "unrelenting negativity" in the market, which he believes is creating "real but ignored values."
- He argues that the fear surrounding tariffs and the Fed's current stance on interest rates (not cutting them) is preventing investors from capitalizing on these bargains.
- Cramer dismisses the notion of stagflation, stating, "I'm not buying it. Not one bit." He believes the "glass is half full, or maybe more."
Tariffs and Presidential Flexibility:
- The looming April 2nd wave of tariffs is a significant concern for the market.
- President Trump signaled "some flexibility on tariffs" during a midday press appearance, using the word "flexibility" and emphasizing reciprocity.
- While the statement didn't provide substantial clarity, the market reacted positively to the suggestion of flexibility.
- Cramer believes that even a small positive signal regarding tariffs could trigger a market bounce.
Earnings Updates and Consumer Sentiment:
- Negative earnings updates from Nike and FedEx contributed to the morning's market gloom.
- The market interpreted Nike's update as a sign that "the consumer is rolling over."
- FedEx's guidance cut was also a source of concern for investors.
Real-World Engagement:
- Cramer highlights the importance of engaging with real business people outside of the office.
- He mentions attending a Home Depot manager meeting and reporting from Las Vegas (Wynn Resorts Delilah restaurant) to gain insights.
Conclusion:
Cramer believes that the market is overly pessimistic and that underlying values are being ignored due to fears surrounding tariffs and the Fed. He sees potential for a market rebound if there is any positive news regarding tariffs, particularly given President Trump's indication of "flexibility." Despite negative earnings updates from companies like Nike and FedEx, Cramer remains optimistic and dismisses the stagflation narrative.
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