Ukraine blitzes Shahed drone factory as Russia sends disabled soldiers to die | Ukraine: The Latest

By The Telegraph

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Key Concepts

  • Prosk (Pikrosk): A city in Donetsk Oblast where heavy fighting is ongoing, with Ukrainian forces raising a flag over the city council building amidst chaotic Russian advances.
  • Russian Military Tactics: Reports of deploying disabled men to the front lines, a potential sign of desperation or a shift in "cannon fodder" strategy.
  • Ukrainian Budget and Winter Support: Ukraine is scrambling to assemble its next year's budget, facing a significant deficit, while President Zelenskyy's winter relief packages are met with criticism.
  • Energy Infrastructure Strikes: Russia continues to target Ukrainian energy infrastructure, leading to potential blackouts, while Ukraine retaliates by striking Russian oil refineries and power plants.
  • North Korean Military Support to Russia: Reports suggest North Korea is deploying engineering troops to Russia, potentially to restore infrastructure.
  • NATO Industry Forum: NATO Secretary General's call for increased defense industrial collaboration, emphasizing "quantity, creativity, and cooperation" and urging industry to take business risks.
  • G20 Summit and Diplomatic Stalemate: The potential for a meeting between Zelenskyy, Putin, and Trump at the G20 summit is complicated by Trump's withdrawal and ongoing diplomatic challenges.
  • Kharkiv Cultural Scene: The resilience and evolution of Kharkiv's cultural scene amidst the war, serving as a lifeline and an act of defiance.
  • Social Class and War: The impact of social class on individuals' decisions to stay or leave during wartime, and the potential for societal tensions.
  • Documentary Filmmaking in Conflict Zones: The challenges and methodologies of filming in occupied territories and frontline cities, emphasizing authenticity and remote production.

Battlefield Updates and Prosk

Heavy fighting continues in Prosk (Pikrosk), a mining city in Donetsk Oblast. Ukrainian soldiers from the 425th Separate Assault Regiment managed to raise a Ukrainian flag over the city council building, a symbolic act amidst intense and chaotic Russian advances. Information from the city is scarce, but it appears a complete Russian takeover has not yet occurred, though Russian forces are present in virtually all areas, often in small teams. The situation is described as a "deep gray zone" where territorial control is lost in a fog of chaotic movement. Reversing the situation with large-scale clearing operations is considered an increasingly impossible task due to the difficulty in distinguishing friend from foe and the continuous flow of Russian forces from the south.

Strikes and Counter-Strikes

Across Ukraine, 108 out of 135 Russian drones fired were intercepted. Strikes on rail infrastructure persist, particularly as winter approaches. Kamyanske in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast was heavily hit, with at least eight people injured. The UN's Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) is providing emergency shelter, psychological, and legal support to affected residents.

In retaliation, a Russian oil refinery in Volgograd (nearly 500 km from the front line) was hit. This plant has an annual refining capacity of 15.7 million tons, representing 5.6% of Russia's total refining capacity. Ukraine's General Staff confirmed the strike, noting explosions and fire.

Simultaneously, a thermal power plant northeast of Moscow in Kostroma Oblast was hit, producing approximately 1.5% of Russia's total electricity generation. Another strike targeted a Russian oil depot near Simferopol in occupied Crimea. These strikes follow an attack on a hub for Russian drone logistics in occupied Donetsk region, believed to be a warehouse for Shahed-type drones. Ukraine's General Staff confirmed these strikes, reporting a "powerful secondary detonation" at the site, identifying it as a base for storage, assembly, and launch of Shahed UAVs (unmanned aerial vehicles).

Furthermore, Ukraine's military intelligence department (HUR) reported that the Russian rebel group "Freedom of Russia" sabotaged dozens of trains targeting Russian military logistics infrastructure. Partisans reportedly set fire to trains used to transport weapons, ammunition, and equipment, damaging control and power systems and disrupting military freight operations.

International Involvement and NATO's Perspective

South Korea's Yonhap news agency reported that North Korea has deployed around 5,000 military engineering troops to Russia, likely for infrastructure restoration. This follows previous reports of approximately 10,000 North Korean troops in Russia for security duties and another 1,000 for mine clearing. This deployment is seen as a move to free up Russian forces for deployment in Ukraine.

At the NATO Industry Forum in Bucharest, NATO Secretary General emphasized that the danger posed by Russia will not end with the war. He highlighted Russia's collaboration with China, North Korea, and Iran to undermine global rules and their increasing defense industrial collaboration, preparing for "long-term confrontation." He expressed confidence in NATO's ability to "outgun, outproduce, and outsmart" adversaries, urging a focus on "quantity, creativity, and cooperation." He called for industry to take business risks by stepping up supply and expanding production lines, promising political will and government contracts to support defense investments.

Diplomatic Maneuvers and G20 Summit

Finnish President Alexander Stubb's suggestion of a meeting between Zelenskyy, Putin, and Trump at the G20 summit in Johannesburg was complicated by Donald Trump's withdrawal. Trump cited a personal grievance with South Africa, falsely accusing it of human rights abuses against white Afrikaners and alleged land confiscation. He stated he would not attend when "land confiscation and genocide are the primary topics of conversation." Vice President JD Vance may represent the US, while Putin is not expected to attend, with his deputy chief of staff slated to appear. The potential for a Putin attendance is further complicated by the ICC arrest warrant, which technically requires South Africa to arrest him if he sets foot on its territory.

Ukraine's Budgetary Challenges and Winter Relief

Ukraine is facing significant budgetary challenges as the year ends, needing to finance the war effort. The country requires $61 billion to cover its budget gap for 2026 and 2027. A $140 billion reparations loan from Europe failed last week, though Ukraine views it as a "timing question rather than a question of substance." Ukraine is exploring options such as unspent funds from government ministries, ad hoc borrowing, and front-loading loans.

President Zelenskyy announced a winter support package for Ukrainians, which has drawn criticism. The package includes:

  • A one-time payment of 1,000 Hryvnias (approximately $24) for those who apply.
  • 3,000 kilometers of free travel on state-owned Ukrainian railways during the off-peak season.
  • A second payment of 6,500 Hryvnias (approximately $154) for vulnerable citizens like internally displaced people and low-income families.

The overall cost of these programs is estimated at $450 million. There is uncertainty regarding the number of applicants for the first payment, with estimates ranging from 10 to 15 million. The government has allocated $104 million to distribute to the most vulnerable. Critics argue that offering the 1,000 Hryvnia payment to everyone, regardless of need, is not a good use of state funds, especially given the war. A similar program last year saw 14 million applicants, exceeding government expectations.

These relief measures come amid falling public opinion and criticism of the government's failure to build sufficient fortifications around energy infrastructure. The programs are seen by some as a "stupid catastrophic populism" aimed at boosting popularity. Ukraine is bracing for potential blackouts due to relentless Russian attacks on energy and civilian infrastructure, which have pushed poverty rates to 37%. Heating seasons are being delayed in several cities due to limited gas reserves.

Russian Military Ethics and Manpower

Varity Bowman reports on troubling accounts of Russian forces deploying soldiers with severe mental and psychological impairments to frontline combat. These individuals are often unfit for military service, with pre-existing psychiatric or cognitive disabilities, or have been reclassified under pressure. Cases include a soldier unable to function in a muddy ditch, filmed by comrades, and a 22-year-old with a childhood disability, Artem Rev, who disappeared and may have been punished for refusing to fight. Another case involves Oleg Volkov, diagnosed with a psychiatric disability, who panicked and was captured on his first day.

These reports suggest desperation rather than a tactical advantage and raise serious human rights and military ethics concerns. While some Ukrainian sources express frustration with reporting that suggests Russia is losing due to high casualties, citing Russia's willingness to expend human lives as a means to an end, others caution against underestimating Russia's manpower and its strategy of relentless troop waves. However, it is noted that Russia's personnel supply is not "never-ending" and is under pressure, with estimated daily losses and deployments being roughly equal. The strategy of slow, costly advances in the Donbas is seen as working for Russia, albeit not leading to a swift capture of Kyiv.

Kharkiv's Cultural Resilience and Identity

Documentary filmmaker Albina Kavalova discusses the cultural scene in Kharkiv, a city known for its artistic vitality. The cultural sphere has "tightened," with those remaining being highly aware of each other, serving as a lifeline. Art is seen as a way for people to process their emotions and make sense of the war.

The interaction between the artistic elite and ordinary people is highlighted through examples like writer Anna Gin, whose work reflects the first year of the war and is staged for ordinary audiences, and artist Konstantin Zorkin, whose work reflects the war in both abstract and specific ways. The strong sense of identity and pride in Kharkiv is a key factor that helps people stay.

Kharkiv is described as a more industrial city with a diverse population, culturally distinct from Kyiv, which is more polished and European-looking. As a frontline city, staying in Kharkiv is an act of defiance against daily alerts and bombings. Schools operate underground, and life is precarious, with recent incidents like the bombing of a kindergarten. Many who left have returned, driven by the sense of home and a desire to fight for the city's future. An empty city, it is argued, would be easier for Russians to take.

Reasons for Staying and Social Class

Kavalova explores the multifaceted reasons why people stay in Kharkiv, including a philosophical instinct to "hunker down" and a gradual acclimatization to danger, leading to a sense of fatalism. For many, practical considerations are paramount: the difficulty and cost of relocating, finding jobs, and the lack of resources. The attachment to home, possessions, and even pets can be a significant factor.

The social class aspect of the war is also discussed. There is a perceived disconnect between the president's global image and the reality faced by those on the front lines, leading to a sense of inequality. Displaced Ukrainians face challenges as support programs in other countries are being cut down, leading some to return. The war's impact on vulnerable populations, including those in orphanages, with HIV, and the homeless, is a significant concern.

Kavalova suggests that societal tensions, while currently unified against a common enemy, may emerge after the war, especially given the trauma and fatigue. The pre-war discontent with corruption and the oligarchic system, which fueled the Maidan revolution, could resurface if not addressed.

Documentary Filmmaking in Conflict

Kavalova contrasts her experiences filming in occupied Kherson and Kharkiv. Similarities include the main characters telling their own stories, often through remote filming, which provides authenticity and allows stories to develop organically. Both documentaries capture specific, critical periods of the war.

Differences lie in the filming locations and methodologies. Filming in occupied Kherson was a secretive operation, requiring extreme care to protect the local filmer from detention and interrogation. In contrast, filming in Kharkiv, while still dangerous due to the threat of bombs, allows for more open documentation of daily life. The Kharkiv documentary captures a period of fatigue and dashed hopes for peace, showing the transformation of characters accustomed to war but increasingly affected by relentless bombing.

Final Thoughts and Celebrity Visits

Dom Nichols shares a final thought about a talk by historian David Olusoga on the social impact of four guns: the Brown Bess, the .303 Lee-Enfield, the Thompson submachine gun, and the Maxim machine gun.

Varity Bowman discusses Angelina Jolie's recent visit to Ukraine, where she visited medical staff, families, and volunteers near the front lines in Kherson and Mykolaiv. Her visit, for the Legacy of War foundation, highlighted medical and educational institutions, underground operations, and shelters. The discussion raises questions about the impact of such celebrity visits: whether they draw valuable resources away from the front lines, their effectiveness in raising visibility and care for Ukraine, and whether they are genuine efforts or "photo ops." Experiences from Afghanistan suggest that some celebrity visits are more effective than others, with some fitting in and highlighting the work of aid workers, while others may draw resources and be perceived as self-serving.

The podcast concludes by emphasizing that the impact of war extends far beyond the battlefield, encompassing lasting human and public health consequences. The cost of the conflict will be measured in lives changed, health lost, and futures diminished.

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