Two Ex-Floor Traders Run This Mechanical S&P Trade Every Week. Here's the Exact Setup.
By tastylive
Key Concepts
- Jade Lizard: A defined-risk, neutral-to-bullish options strategy consisting of a short put spread and a short naked call (or a wide call spread to define risk), designed to profit from volatility and time decay.
- Iron Condor: A neutral strategy involving a short put spread and a short call spread, profiting from the underlying asset staying within a specific range.
- GTC (Good 'Til Canceled): An order type that remains active until the trade is filled or manually canceled.
- Delta: A measure of an option's price sensitivity to changes in the underlying asset's price; also used as a rough proxy for the probability of an option expiring in-the-money.
- DTE (Days to Expiration): The number of days remaining until an option contract expires.
- Volatility Crush: A rapid decrease in implied volatility, which typically benefits short option positions.
- Laddering: The practice of entering trades at staggered intervals to smooth out risk and exposure over time.
1. The Jade Lizard Strategy
The presenters are executing a mechanical Jade Lizard strategy on the SPX index.
- Objective: To maintain a constant position in the account, aiming for a profit target of 25% of the credit received.
- Execution: The trade is set up with a $20-wide put spread and a $5-wide call spread. The call spread is placed at the "expected move" to balance risk.
- Risk Management: The strategy is defined-risk, with approximately $1,550 at risk per trade. The goal is to generate roughly $50 per day in profit by cycling through these trades every few days.
- Adjustment Logic: If the market moves significantly against the position, the traders may manually close it. If the market moves favorably, the GTC order triggers an exit at the 25% profit mark.
2. The 45-Day Iron Condor Strategy
In addition to the short-term Jade Lizard, the presenters are laddering into 45-day Iron Condors.
- Methodology: Every Monday, a new 45-day Iron Condor is opened to ensure a consistent, staggered presence in the market.
- Parameters: The strategy uses 20-delta short strikes, with $20-wide spreads on both the put and call sides.
- Profit Target: A GTC order is set to close the position at 50% of the maximum profit.
- Performance Note: The presenters noted that during the historically bullish month of April, one position was tested (breached the call side). They are currently debating whether to close such positions at 21 DTE or hold them to expiration to allow for a potential market pullback.
3. Key Arguments and Perspectives
- Mechanical Consistency: The presenters emphasize that "mechanically putting them on" is superior to discretionary trading. By laddering trades, they smooth out their delta exposure and avoid the pitfalls of trying to time the market.
- Risk/Reward Philosophy: The traders argue that if a trade is near its max loss at 21 DTE, it may be worth holding rather than closing, provided there is sufficient time remaining for the market to revert to the mean.
- "Jade Lizard with a Long Tail": The presenters acknowledge that their strategy is technically a "skewed iron condor," but they accept the viewer-suggested term "Jade Lizard with a long tail" to describe the specific configuration of their defined-risk setup.
4. Technical Insights and Research
- Probability of Touch: The presenters highlight that a 20-delta short strike carries a 20% probability of expiring in-the-money, but a 40% probability of being "touched" at some point during the trade cycle.
- Zero DTE Research: Mention was made of research by "Kai" regarding Zero DTE (zero days to expiration) trades, specifically the strategy of rolling the untested side (e.g., rolling up the put spread) if the call side is breached.
- Market Context: The presenters noted that SPX currently has a 40 IV Rank (Implied Volatility Rank), which influences their decision to maintain these short-volatility positions.
5. Synthesis and Conclusion
The core takeaway is the implementation of a disciplined, mechanical trading system using SPX options. By combining short-term Jade Lizards (for quick, frequent profit capture) with longer-term, laddered Iron Condors (for consistent market exposure), the traders aim to generate steady returns while managing risk through defined-width spreads. The emphasis is on removing emotion from the process, adhering to pre-set profit targets (25% for Jade Lizards, 50% for Iron Condors), and maintaining a continuous presence in the market to smooth out volatility.
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