TSTC tối 4/11: Bão Kalmaegi giật cấp 16 sắp vào Biển Đông, hướng vào Đà Nẵng - Khánh Hòa | VTV24

Key Concepts

• Bão Canmei (Kammuri): A powerful typhoon impacting the Philippines and expected to enter the East Sea, bringing strong winds and heavy rain to Vietnam.
• Luật Thi hành án Hình sự sửa đổi: Proposed amendments to the law on the execution of criminal sentences, including regulations on organ donation by prisoners.
• Luật Thuế Thu nhập Cá nhân sửa đổi: Proposed amendments to the personal income tax law, including changes to tax brackets, deductions, and exemptions.
• Giá đất bất động sản: The issue of inflated and unreasonable land prices in Vietnam, driven by speculation and impacting social and economic stability.
• Đãi vàng: A resurgence of gold panning in Arizona, USA, fueled by record-high gold prices and a desire to connect with historical traditions.
• Ngân sách Hàn Quốc 2026: South Korea's proposed budget for 2026, with a significant focus on investing in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and defense.
• Mê tín dị đoan: The exploitation of superstition by some individuals, particularly in the context of fortune-telling using betel nuts.

Summary

Weather and Natural Disasters

Typhoon Canmei (Kammuri): The video reports on Typhoon Canmei (Kammuri), which has already caused significant damage in the Philippines, resulting in at least five deaths, widespread flooding, and power outages. The typhoon, currently at Category 13 (134-149 km/h winds, gusts up to 16), is expected to enter the East Sea tonight or early tomorrow, becoming the 13th typhoon of the year. It is predicted to move rapidly at 25 km/h. By 4:00 PM tomorrow, the storm's center will be approximately 240 km east-northeast of Song Tu Tay Island, maintaining its intensity at Category 13-14 with gusts up to 17. The typhoon may reach its strongest point, exceeding Category 14, near the Spratly Islands and the coast from Da Nang to Khanh Hoa. The central East Sea, including the northern Spratly Islands, is warned of increasing winds from level 7 to 11, with areas near the storm's eye experiencing level 12-14 winds and gusts up to 17. Sea waves are expected to reach 5-10 meters, causing extremely destructive conditions capable of sinking large vessels. Coastal communities and fishermen are urged to seek safe shelter immediately.

Impact on Vietnam: Typhoon Canmei is projected to directly affect Vietnam's mainland around November 6th. The storm's wide influence will cause strong winds from the coast of Quang Tri to Dak Lak starting from the afternoon/evening of November 6th, escalating from level 7 to 8-9. Areas east of Quang Ngai, Gia Lai, and Dak Lak, near the storm's eye, could experience winds of level 10-12 with gusts up to 14-15, strong enough to blow off roofing and damage moored boats. Heavy rainfall is expected from November 6th to 7th, from Thanh Hoa to Lam Dong, with the heaviest concentration in the area from Da Nang to Dak Lak, potentially receiving 200-400 mm of rain, and locally exceeding 600 mm. Southern Quang Tri to Hue and Khanh Hoa, Lam Dong may receive 150-300 mm, with some areas exceeding 450 mm. This rainfall poses a high risk of floods, inundation, and landslides, especially in areas recently affected by floods. Residents in affected areas are advised to secure their homes, evacuate from dangerous zones, and remove outdoor advertising.

Flood Aftermath: In Quang Tri province, while rain has subsided, floodwaters are receding slowly. Provincial leaders are actively involved in providing aid and directing recovery efforts, focusing on ensuring adequate food supplies for affected residents. Health authorities are prioritizing environmental sanitation, disinfection, and disease prevention. Over 5,000 households remain flooded, and over 100 schools are temporarily closed due to damage and landslides.

Tidal Surge in Can Tho: Can Tho City recorded a high tide of 2.09 meters on the Hau River early this morning, exceeding alarm level 3 by 9 cm. The tidal surge is expected to continue rising for several more days, potentially reaching its peak between tomorrow and November 1st. This recent tidal surge has already inundated thousands of hectares of fruit orchards, rice paddies, and crops, as well as many roads and central city areas.

Damage to Hue Imperial City: A 15-meter section of the northern wall of the Hue Imperial City has collapsed due to heavy rain. The affected area has been covered with tarpaulin for repair, and access has been restricted for safety. Several other historical sites within the complex were also affected by deep flooding during recent rains.

Legal and Political Developments

Amendments to the Law on Execution of Criminal Sentences: During a National Assembly discussion, deputies reached a high consensus on the draft amendments to the Law on Execution of Criminal Sentences. Key discussions focused on regulations concerning organ donation by individuals serving prison sentences. The proposal suggests that if an inmate wishes to donate organs, the correctional facility should inform the National Coordination Center for Organ Donation to facilitate the registration process. Deputies emphasized the need for strict regulations to ensure the inmate's voluntary consent, medical suitability, and that the donation does not impede their ability to complete their sentence. Concerns were raised about potential loopholes for exploitation and the need for clear oversight mechanisms.

Amendments to the Personal Income Tax Law: The Minister of Finance presented a draft amendment to the Personal Income Tax Law. The government proposes reducing the tax brackets from seven to five and widening the income gap between them. The lowest tax rate of 5% would apply to incomes up to 10 million VND per month, and the highest rate of 35% would apply to incomes exceeding 100 million VND per month (up from the current 80 million VND threshold). The draft also includes adjustments to personal and dependent deductions, as well as charitable contributions. The personal deduction is proposed to increase to 15.5 million VND per month, and the dependent deduction to 6.2 million VND per month. With these changes, individuals earning 17 million VND per month without dependents would not be subject to tax after deductions. For businesses, the government proposes exempting revenues under 200 million VND per year. However, income from digital activities like entertainment and games would see a tax rate increase from 2% to 5%.

Social Issues and Exploitation

Exploitation of Superstition: The report highlights the concerning practice of some individuals, referred to as "cậu đồng bà cốt" (mediums and fortune tellers), who exploit people's blind faith in superstition. They use betel nuts as a tool for fortune-telling, aiming to instill fear in clients and compel them to spend large sums on elaborate rituals and offerings. Despite past legal actions against some individuals, this practice continues, even within national heritage sites like the Dong Noi Temple in Hanoi. A specific case is presented of "Cậu Thao," who claims to predict the future through betel nuts. He is shown performing a ritual for a couple struggling with infertility, creating a narrative of "Mộc Tinh" (wood spirit) and "thất mộ" (seven graves) to justify expensive rituals. He charges clients hundreds of millions of VND for these services, creating a sense of urgency and obligation. Cậu Thao has been living and operating within the temple for years, turning a national heritage site into a place for commercialized spiritual services.

Real Estate Market Concerns

Inflated Land Prices and Speculation: The video discusses the persistent issue of inflated and unreasonable land prices in Vietnam, which negatively impacts society, distorts resource allocation, and poses risks to macroeconomic stability. Over the past five years, Hanoi has seen a 122% increase in land prices, followed by Hai Phong (71%), Da Nang, and Ho Chi Minh City (nearly 1.5 times). These abnormal price increases are attributed to speculation and hoarding, rather than genuine housing demand. The practice of using high-value auction results or rapidly appreciating surrounding projects as benchmarks for pricing creates a self-perpetuating cycle of price hikes.

Examples of Price Increases: In Dong Anh district, Hanoi, land prices have quadrupled in two years, with prices exceeding 150 million VND per square meter, compared to less than 50 million VND previously. Even areas further from luxury housing projects have seen similar price surges. This phenomenon is driven by organized price inflation tactics, such as using peak auction prices as reference points.

Contributing Factors: Several factors contribute to this issue:

• Local Pricing Mechanisms: Local land price lists are often significantly lower than market transaction prices. However, when calculating land use fees or compensation, adjustment coefficients are applied, which are frequently based on already inflated reference transactions.
• Lack of Market Price Reflection: Unlike developed countries where land sale prices are recorded for tax purposes and can fluctuate, Vietnam's unwritten rule seems to be that prices only go up.
• Outdated Valuation Methods: The previous Land Law relied on a single consulting unit to determine land prices, which is considered an inaccurate approach.
• High Demand and Limited Supply of Affordable Housing: The significant demand for housing, particularly for low-income workers and civil servants, is unmet, leading to market imbalances.
• Dominance of High-End Segments: Over 95% of new apartments launched in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City are in the high-end segment, with prices ranging from 76 to 80 million VND per square meter. Mid-range apartments (35-40 million VND/m²) are no longer available.
• Speculative Investment: Investors often cite the market-based land valuation in the Land Law as justification for price hikes, leading to artificial market booms and making homeownership increasingly difficult for many families.
• Low Capital Productivity: The real estate sector, while contributing only about 3.5% to GDP directly, consumes nearly a quarter of the nation's total capital, indicating low capital productivity.
• Credit Flow: A substantial amount of credit (4.1 trillion VND) is being channeled into the real estate sector, with a nearly 17% credit growth rate. Concerns exist about this leading to a repeat of past real estate bubbles and non-performing loans.
• Idle Properties: Numerous high-value properties, including villas, remain unoccupied, representing a significant waste of social resources.

Expert Opinions and Proposed Solutions: Experts suggest that the current situation is counter to normal economic principles, where credit should flow into productive sectors. Excessive credit in real estate can negatively impact manufacturing, trade, and services, which are job creators. The high interest rates and collateralization associated with real estate loans make them attractive but also pose a significant risk to the financial system if the market collapses. The government's proposed mechanisms to address difficulties in implementing the Land Law are seen as a positive step towards market stabilization. Experts emphasize the need for strict, transparent, and public land price management to curb speculation and ensure fair benefits for citizens and businesses.

Crime and Security

Currency Smuggling: Lao Cai International Border Gate Border Guard Station has initiated legal proceedings in two cases of foreign currency smuggling. One individual was caught attempting to illegally transport Vietnamese Dong, Chinese Yuan, and US Dollars, equivalent to over 260 million VND. Another individual was apprehended with nearly 200 million VND in Vietnamese Dong. Both failed to declare the large sums of money to customs.

N2O Gas Smuggling: Border guards in Quang Ninh province have busted a network involved in the sale and transportation of N2O gas (laughing gas). The network transported the gas from Binh Lieu to Quang Ninh and then to other provinces. Eight suspects were arrested, and over 600 cylinders of N2O gas, along with four cars, were seized. The case has been handed over to the provincial police for further investigation.

Fatalities in Flooded Areas: In Dong Thap province, police are investigating the deaths of a mother and child in a flooded house. The incident occurred when they went to the bathroom, which was submerged in about 0.3 meters of floodwater. They were found unresponsive in the water, and electrocution is suspected as the cause of death. Previously, two students in Can Tho City died due to electric shock from a street light in a flooded park area.

International Incidents:

• Papua New Guinea Landslide: A flash flood and landslide in the eastern province of Papua, Indonesia, has left at least 15 people missing, mostly children. The victims were reportedly swept away while trying to cross a river. Rescue efforts are underway but are hampered by difficult terrain.
• KK Park Escapees: Thai immigration police have arrested approximately 1,600 foreigners fleeing from the KK Park scam complex in Myanmar. These individuals are facing charges of illegal entry in Thailand.
• Gold Refinery Heist in France: French police have recovered precious metals worth approximately $32 million that were stolen from a gold refining laboratory. Armed robbers used explosives to break into the facility and stole 306 kg of precious metals, primarily gold. Six suspects have been arrested and charged with conspiracy and armed robbery. This incident is part of a series of high-value thefts in France.

Global Economic Trends

Gold Panning Resurgence in Arizona: Record-high global gold prices have reignited interest in gold panning in Arizona, USA. Hundreds of people are flocking to desert areas, hoping to find small gold flakes or simply to experience the thrill of prospecting. The Phoenix Gold Panners Association members are actively panning for gold, driven by the hope of finding valuable nuggets and the physical benefits of the activity. The rising gold price has led to a rapid increase in membership for such associations. Even small amounts of gold can be profitable, with some individuals earning nearly $100 per day by panning multiple buckets of soil. Tourist sites like the Gofiel gold mine also offer visitors a chance to experience gold panning and learn about the region's mining history. The allure of finding lost gold mines, like the legendary Dutch gold mine in the Superstition Mountains, continues to draw people to the area, making gold panning a source of enjoyment and a way to pursue the "gold dream" amidst economic uncertainty.

South Korean Budget and AI Focus

South Korea's 2026 Budget Proposal: South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol presented the annual budget proposal to the National Assembly, emphasizing increased investment in Artificial Intelligence (AI). The President highlighted the nation's economic transformation, with reduced geopolitical and corporate governance risks, leading the KOSPI index to surpass 4,000 points for the first time in late October. For 2026, the government proposes an 8.1% increase in the national budget to 728 trillion won (over $500 billion). The budget prioritizes AI development, aiming to build "highways for the AI era" and foster significant growth. The 2026 budget is the first to officially usher in South Korea's AI era. The government plans to invest approximately 6 trillion won (over $4 billion) over five years to accelerate AI adoption in manufacturing, support AI talent training, and develop age-appropriate AI education programs. The defense budget for 2026 is also set to increase by 8.2% to 66.3 trillion won (over $46 billion), with a focus on restructuring the traditional weapon system for the AI era and transforming the military into an intelligent, elite force.