Top 10 Gap Trading Mistakes You Must Avoid (And how to make them big winners)
By SMB Capital
Intraday Trading Mistakes: A Detailed Analysis
Key Concepts:
- Gap and Fail: Chasing a gap up opening, entering a trade based on initial momentum, and getting stopped out repeatedly.
- Higher Time Frame Resistance: Ignoring resistance levels on daily or weekly charts when trading a gap up.
- Low Volume Gap: Recognizing gaps with insufficient volume as potentially invalid signals.
- VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): Utilizing VWAP as a key level for identifying support, resistance, and potential trade setups.
- Absorption at the Highs: Identifying strength when large sell orders are absorbed without significant price movement.
- High and Tight Flag: A consolidation pattern indicating potential continued upward momentum.
- Flush and Reclaim: A temporary dip followed by a strong recovery, signaling potential strength.
- Volume Compression: A decrease in trading volume indicating potential energy build-up.
- Tape Reading: Analyzing the order flow (time and sales) to understand market participant behavior.
- Urgency vs. Awareness: Shifting from reactive trading based on fear of missing out to patient observation and informed decision-making.
1. The Immediate Gap and Fail (Number 10)
This mistake involves aggressively entering a trade immediately after a stock gaps up, driven by the fear of missing out (FOMO). A trader on the speaker’s desk consistently chased these gaps, buying near the highs with tight stops, only to be repeatedly stopped out. The core issue was reacting to movement rather than strength. The solution wasn’t to trade less, but to wait for confirmation – specifically, for the price to rest without collapsing. The trader learned to view urgency as a warning signal, adopting a more patient, sniper-like approach. He now focuses on the initial pullbacks, waiting for opportunities where the stock holds below key support levels after a failed initial surge. The takeaway is that the bank doesn’t care how the money was made, only that it was made, emphasizing the importance of clear, high-probability trades.
2. Gap Up into Higher Time Frame Resistance (Number 9)
This error stems from a lack of broader market context. A trader bought a stock that gapped up 5% on the one-minute chart, only to be immediately rejected. He failed to recognize that the gap up occurred directly into a daily resistance level that had previously rejected price multiple times. This single loss prompted a process change: now, every gap up is assessed by asking, “What problem does this gap run into?” The trader now anticipates negotiation at resistance levels, rather than automatic continuation. He prepares for both directions, leaning slightly based on the catalyst but avoiding overconfidence. He’s looking for opportunities to trade the reversal when the stock fails at resistance, rather than chasing the initial momentum.
3. The Low Volume Gap (Number 8)
Not all gaps are significant. This mistake involves assuming that any gap indicates interest. A trader learned that some gaps are merely “air pockets” – price movements lacking genuine participation. Gaps, like price spikes, can be fleeting and lack substance. The key is to assess the volume on the gap. If a stock gaps but doesn’t trade at least 3% of its average daily volume, it’s a warning sign. The trader now focuses on who is participating, not just that a gap occurred. He analyzes pre-market action, looking for a defined trend (uptrend or downtrend) alongside sufficient volume. He avoids “death by a thousand cuts” – repeatedly buying pullbacks that fail due to lack of support. A key rule is to avoid fighting the trend established since the news catalyst, and even consider shorting against the gap if conditions are right. Specifically, looking for a break of the pre-market low followed by a failed attempt by buyers to step in.
4. Gap Up into Opening Drive into Exhaustion Fade (Number 7)
This mistake involves mistaking speed for control. A trader equated rapid price movement with strong buying pressure. However, he repeatedly found that stocks would explode higher at the open, only to stall and collapse. The issue was that the tape was fast but one-sided – buyers were hitting offers, but no one was defending the price afterwards. The lesson learned: real strength slows down before continuing, while fake strength burns itself out. Now, the trader looks for the stock to base out after the initial drive. If it attempts to press higher repeatedly without success, he prepares for exhaustion.
5. The Line as a Verdict: VWAP Importance (Number 6)
This error involved disregarding the significance of the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). A trader initially viewed VWAP as just another line, failing to recognize it as a consensus level representing where larger players were buying or selling. He would watch breakouts fail after briefly reclaiming VWAP, leading to waterfall declines. He learned that VWAP isn’t magic, but a reflection of market sentiment. Above VWAP, buyers are in control; below, sellers dominate. Now, he uses VWAP as a key decision point, waiting for a “fashionably late” trade after a VWAP flip. He combines this with the principles discussed earlier, using the open to set up clear trades.
6. The High and Tight Flag (Number 5)
This highlights the importance of recognizing quiet strength. A trader initially lost confidence in a stock when it entered a tight consolidation after a gap up, assuming it was “dead.” He missed a significant move because he needed constant movement to feel comfortable. He later realized that the tight ranges weren’t a sign of weakness, but of buyers quietly absorbing selling pressure. Now, he views tight ranges with a stock near its highs as a bullish signal, focusing on the fact that the stock is refusing to give back ground. He pays attention to what isn’t happening – the lack of selling – and prepares for a breakout.
7. Gap Up with VWOP Build (Number 4)
This mistake involved chasing highs and fearing missing out on a trending day. A trader would buy every new high on a gap up, getting stopped out repeatedly. He learned that repeated defense of VWAP was a key indicator of potential strength. He now focuses on the stock’s ability to hold VWAP repeatedly, viewing pullbacks as opportunities to enter, rather than threats. He shifted from trading individual moves to thinking in terms of a campaign, allowing the market to dictate the trade.
8. The Failed Flush that Reclaims a Key Level (Number 3)
This demonstrates how weakness can create strength. A trader used to panic on flushes (sudden drops in price). However, he observed a stock flush hard, snap back above VWAP with aggressive buying, and then continue higher. He realized that some weakness is designed to clear the field. Now, he looks for flushes followed by a strong reclaim of key levels, signaling potential strength.
9. Gap Up with Volume Compression (Number 2)
This emphasizes the importance of recognizing energy build-up. A trader used to take trades based on FOMO, fearing missing out on a gap up. He later realized that his biggest winners often started with a tight range and shrinking volume. He learned that volatility doesn’t disappear during consolidation; it stores itself. Now, he waits for volume to expand after a period of compression, signaling a potential breakout.
10. Gap Up with Absorption at the Highs (Number 1)
This was the trade that fundamentally changed a trader’s understanding of tape reading. He observed massive sell orders hitting the tape at the highs of a gap up, but the price didn’t move. This demonstrated “absorption” – hidden buying pressure absorbing selling pressure. He learned to look for sellers and, if they are met with absorption, recognize a bullish signal.
Conclusion:
The core takeaway is that successful intraday trading isn’t about finding more setups, but about becoming more specific and selective. The traders who improved didn’t trade more; they learned to recognize specific patterns and signals, shifting from reactive trading based on fear and urgency to patient observation and informed decision-making. The key is to understand the underlying dynamics of the market, recognize the information being presented, and wait for high-probability setups to emerge. The emphasis is on understanding why price is moving, not just that it is moving.
Chat with this Video
AI-PoweredHi! I can answer questions about this video "Top 10 Gap Trading Mistakes You Must Avoid (And how to make them big winners)". What would you like to know?