THIS IS IT: Silver Price to Hit $300 Next Year! (This is How)
By Wall Street Bullion
Key Concepts
- Precious Metals Stacking: The practice of accumulating physical gold and silver as a long-term hedge against inflation and economic instability.
- Spot Price: The current market price at which a commodity can be bought or sold for immediate delivery.
- Premium: The additional cost above the spot price charged by dealers to cover minting, refining, distribution, and profit margins.
- Sovereign vs. Private Minting: Government-backed coins (e.g., Maples, Eagles) versus privately minted rounds/bars.
- Paper Silver/ETFs: Financial derivatives that track the price of silver without physical ownership, which the speaker warns are risky due to potential derivative bubble collapses.
- Hyperinflation: A rapid, excessive, and out-of-control general price increase in an economy, which the speaker views as a long-term threat due to unsustainable debt and money printing.
1. Market Outlook and Analysis
Michael Pachone, President of Can-Am Bullion, argues that the recent price drops in gold and silver were not organic but rather a "coordinated attack" or manipulation by banks.
- Technical Indicators: Silver is currently trading above its 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which is viewed as a bullish signal.
- Price Predictions: Pachone expects both gold and silver to reach all-time highs before the end of the year, potentially by the end of summer.
- Volatility: He emphasizes that short-term fluctuations are "irrelevant" for long-term investors and warns that the market remains highly volatile due to geopolitical tensions (e.g., the war in Iran) and energy crises.
2. Investment Strategy and Asset Selection
Pachone provides specific guidance for those looking to build a physical portfolio:
- Preferred Denominations: He strongly recommends 1 oz coins and rounds. While 100 oz bars may seem cheaper upfront, they are harder to liquidate and command lower buy-back prices.
- Sovereign vs. Private: He advises prioritizing government-minted coins (like Canadian Maples or American Eagles) when available, as they are the first to go out of stock during periods of high demand.
- The "Premium" Explained: Premiums are not just dealer profit; they cover the entire supply chain, including wholesalers, refiners, and mints. Dealers typically make a 2–5% margin. Silver premiums are generally higher than gold due to the physical bulk, shipping, and insurance costs associated with the metal.
3. Risks and Economic Concerns
The discussion highlights several systemic risks:
- Debt and Money Printing: The primary long-term concern is the "unsustainable" national debt. Pachone argues that recessions and wars lead to further money printing, which is inherently inflationary.
- The "Paper" Risk: He warns against ETFs and paper silver, suggesting that the COMEX derivative bubble could pop, leaving investors with nothing. He stresses the importance of having physical metal in one's possession.
- Transfer of Wealth: Pachone characterizes the coming years as potentially the "biggest transfer of wealth in history," advising investors to move away from traditional assets like stocks, bonds, and cash, which he believes are at high risk.
4. Current Market Sentiment
- Wait-and-See Approach: At Can-Am Bullion, the recent market activity has slowed down. Following a period of "FOMO" (Fear Of Missing Out) buying, investors are currently hesitant due to recent price volatility.
- Buying Opportunity: Pachone views the 40% price drop from recent highs as a significant buying opportunity for long-term investors, rather than a reason for panic.
5. Notable Quotes
- "If you're not planning to sell your silver in the next few weeks, I wouldn't really care too much about the short-term price because long-term is what I look at." — Michael Pachone
- "There's never been a more important time in my opinion to own physical precious metals in your hand than today." — Michael Pachone
- "If you're on the wrong side of this trade and you're sitting in traditional assets... this inflation is going to eat you up." — Michael Pachone
Synthesis and Conclusion
The main takeaway from the discussion is a strong conviction in the long-term necessity of physical precious metals as a hedge against systemic economic failure. Pachone advocates for a disciplined, long-term accumulation strategy, prioritizing 1 oz sovereign coins to ensure liquidity. He dismisses short-term price manipulation and volatility as noise, urging investors to focus on the macro-economic reality of unsustainable debt and the potential for hyperinflation. The core advice is to convert a portion (5–10% or more) of traditional assets into physical bullion to protect against the risks inherent in the current financial system.
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