Thailand and Cambodia agree to talks in Malaysia after four days of fighting | BBC News

Key Concepts

• Ceasefire proposal by President Trump between Cambodia and Thailand.
• US tariffs as leverage for achieving a ceasefire.
• Differing responses from Cambodia and Thailand regarding the ceasefire.
• Thai military's desire to push back Cambodian forces and inflict damage.
• Importance of US trade talks and tariff reductions for both countries.

Cambodia's Response

Cambodia has welcomed President Trump's proposal for a ceasefire with Thailand following days of cross-border fighting. Prime Minister Hun Sen expressed gratitude for President Trump's intervention. Cambodia had already requested a ceasefire at the UN on Friday, indicating their eagerness to end the conflict. The Cambodian military is considered weaker than Thailand's, and it is believed they have suffered significant losses from Thai artillery barrages and air strikes.

Thailand's Response

Thailand expressed willingness to consider a ceasefire, but insisted on dialogue with Cambodia first. The Thai Prime Minister reiterated this position in response to President Trump's phone call. The Thai military appears not ready for a ceasefire, as they aim to push Cambodian forces back from the border and inflict further damage, fueled by anger over rocket attacks that killed 13 Thai civilians.

US Tariffs as Leverage

President Trump warned both sides that trade talks on US tariffs would be halted if a ceasefire was not implemented. This threat is considered a crucial factor, as neither Cambodia nor Thailand can afford the failure of these talks. Both countries are heavily exposed to the US market and currently face a 36% tariff. Neighboring countries have secured deals reducing tariffs to 20% or lower.

Ongoing Conflict

Despite President Trump's calls, shelling continued overnight. Buildings have been destroyed in Thailand, and it is assumed that the Thai military has maintained its artillery barrage on the Cambodian side.

Trade Tariff Deadline

There are only four days left to the trade tariff deadline. There is significant criticism in Thailand regarding the government's perceived slowness in progressing tariff talks.

Conclusion

While both Cambodia and Thailand have given positive responses to President Trump's ceasefire proposal, underlying tensions and military objectives persist, particularly on the Thai side. The key leverage for achieving a ceasefire lies in the threat of halting US trade talks and maintaining high tariffs, which would significantly impact both countries' economies. It is anticipated that both countries will comply with President Trump's wishes for at least an announcement of a ceasefire within the next two days due to the importance of the tariff negotiations.