Tesla Is No Longer World’s Biggest EV Maker
By Forbes
Key Concepts
- EV Market Leadership: Shift from Tesla to BYD as the world’s largest electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer.
- Delivery Numbers: Specific sales figures for both Tesla and BYD in 2025, highlighting the decline for Tesla and growth for BYD.
- Elon Musk’s Evolving Perspective: Changes in Musk’s assessment of BYD and Chinese EV manufacturers over time.
- Political & Financial Factors: Impact of Elon Musk’s public actions on Tesla’s sales and eligibility for federal incentives.
- Federal EV Credit: The $7,500 federal tax credit and its removal impacting Tesla sales.
BYD Overtakes Tesla: A Market Shift in 2025
The year 2025 marked a significant turning point in the electric vehicle (EV) market, with China’s BYD surpassing Tesla in global EV sales for the first time. This shift was confirmed by a 16% decline in Tesla’s deliveries during the final quarter of 2025, resulting in 600,000 fewer deliveries compared to BYD for the entire year.
Sales Performance: Tesla vs. BYD in 2025
BYD reported a substantial 28% increase in EV sales, reaching a total of 2.26 million vehicles. This contrasts sharply with Tesla’s 2025 performance, which saw deliveries drop by over 8.5% from the previous year, totaling 1.63 million cars. BYD’s overall passenger vehicle deliveries reached 4.54 million units in 2025. The previous year, 2024, saw a much closer competition, with BYD delivering 1.76 million vehicles and Tesla at 1.79 million.
Elon Musk’s Changing Views on BYD
Elon Musk’s perception of BYD and the broader Chinese EV industry has undergone a dramatic evolution. In a 2011 interview with Bloomberg TV, Musk openly dismissed BYD, despite Warren Buffett’s investment in the company. He questioned the quality, technology, and long-term viability of BYD’s products and its ability to succeed even within its domestic market. Specifically, he expressed skepticism about the attractiveness and strength of BYD’s offerings.
However, by 2021, at the World New Energy Vehicle Congress, Musk acknowledged the growing competence of Chinese EV manufacturers. This shift continued into January 2023, when he lauded Chinese automakers as “the hardest and smartest workers in the industry,” and predicted a Chinese company would likely secure the second-place position behind Tesla. By late 2024, his assessment became more cautionary, stating that “without trade barriers, Chinese EVs would pretty much demolish most other companies in the world.”
Factors Contributing to Tesla’s 2025 Sales Decline
Tesla’s sales slump in 2025 was attributed, in part, to negative public reaction stemming from CEO Elon Musk’s political activities. His financial support for Donald Trump’s presidential campaign and his involvement with Doge (likely referring to Dogecoin and related financial activities) triggered protests, boycotts, and acts of vandalism targeting Tesla facilities.
Furthermore, a public disagreement between Musk and Trump later in the year led to the removal of the $7,500 federal EV tax credit for Tesla vehicles, beginning in September 2025. This loss of incentive significantly impacted Tesla’s sales potential.
Federal EV Credit & its Impact
The $7,500 federal EV credit, designed to incentivize EV adoption, was a key factor in Tesla’s previous sales success. The removal of this credit, directly linked to Musk’s public actions, demonstrably affected Tesla’s ability to compete, particularly against BYD which did not face the same restrictions.
Conclusion
The shift in EV market leadership from Tesla to BYD in 2025 represents a significant development in the automotive industry. This change is not solely attributable to BYD’s impressive growth, but also to a confluence of factors impacting Tesla, including declining deliveries, evolving competitive landscape, and the repercussions of its CEO’s public actions and their effect on federal incentives. The situation highlights the increasing competitiveness of the global EV market and the potential for Chinese manufacturers to dominate the sector.
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