Suddenly Whirlpool is in the driver's seat, says Jim Cramer
By CNBC Television
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Key Concepts:
- Stories as drivers of market action
- Vietnam tariffs and supply chain shifts
- Impact of a weaker dollar on multinational corporations
- Meme stock resurgence
- Importance of focusing on company stories over market minutiae
- CNBC Investing Club
- Capital One's acquisition of Discover
- The Metals Company and deep-sea mineral exploration
1. Introduction: The Power of Stories in the Market
- Cramer emphasizes the importance of stories in understanding and profiting from market movements. He states that stories are driving the current market buoyancy.
- He contrasts focusing on market minutiae (e.g., basis point moves, job losses) with focusing on stories that can generate profit.
- Cramer's goal is to help viewers make money, not just predict Fed moves or appointments.
2. Cramer's Personal Story: The Value of Storytelling
- Cramer recounts his early career struggles as a reporter and his eventual success on Wall Street, attributing it to his ability to tell compelling stories.
- He describes his persistence in getting a job at Goldman Sachs, highlighting an anecdote where he was left waiting all day for an interview that never happened.
- David Darst championed Cramer because of his "brazen Exxon answer" and storytelling ability.
3. Vietnam Tariff Story: Supply Chain Shifts and Opportunities
- Cramer discusses the story of potential tariffs on exports from Vietnam, initially proposed at 46% but later reduced to 20%.
- He references Eric Ambler's novel "Passage of Arms" to illustrate historical concerns about Chinese control over Vietnamese industries.
- The tariff news impacted companies that had shifted manufacturing from China to Vietnam to avoid previous tariffs.
- Examples:
- Nike: Stock rose 4% due to its significant manufacturing presence in Vietnam.
- Gap: Richard Nixon, CEO, appeared on the show after the stock was crushed by the initial tariff news.
- Williams-Sonoma: Laura Albert, CEO, moved a lot of manufacturing to Vietnam; stock jumped over 2% on the revised tariff news.
- Levi's: Had decent Vietnam exposure.
- RH (Restoration Hardware): Could be a short squeeze due to its Vietnam-sourced products.
- Kontoor Brands (Lee and Wrangler): Acquired Helly Hansen, which has a major manufacturing hub in Vietnam.
- Whirlpool: Could benefit from tariffs on foreign appliance manufacturers like LG and Samsung.
4. The Weaker Dollar Story: Impact on Multinational Corporations
- Cramer dismisses concerns about the dollar's four-year low, arguing that a weaker dollar benefits U.S. multinational corporations.
- He explains that companies like Procter & Gamble often complain about a strong dollar because it reduces their overseas earnings when translated back to U.S. currency.
- He predicts that Procter & Gamble will likely beat earnings estimates due to the weaker dollar.
5. Meme Stock Resurgence: The Power of the Narrative
- Cramer notes the return of meme stock buying, particularly in names like Palantir, Coinbase, and Robinhood.
- He expects Palantir to reach $200 this quarter.
- He also mentions Nvidia and other semiconductor companies (Texas Instruments, Broadcom, NXP Semiconductors) as the "new software stocks."
- He references Oracle's deal after the close.
6. Listener Call: Etsy Analysis
- A caller asks for advice on Etsy, which he has owned since the pandemic.
- Cramer acknowledges execution issues but believes in the company's core value.
- He advises the caller to hold the stock and buy more if it declines further.
7. Listener Call: Capital One and Discover Acquisition
- A caller asks about buying more Capital One stock after Cramer recommended it at $170, and it's now at $215.
- Cramer advises against violating his cost basis, as the club got in at an "unbelievable price."
- He believes the acquisition of Discover will lead to great things for Capital One.
8. The Metals Company: A Speculative Story
- Cramer mentions The Metals Company, a deep-sea mineral exploration company, as a speculative story contributing to the renewable energy space.
- He notes that the CEO was one of the most speculative guests he's had on the show.
- The company fell 40% after withdrawing its guidance.
9. Conclusion: Focus on Stories, Not Minutiae
- Cramer reiterates the importance of focusing on company stories rather than market minutiae to make money.
- He promises to continue telling these stories, as that's where the profit lies.
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