Small business confidence falls in Q2 2025, survey finds

CNBC TelevisionAbout 2 min readMay 9, 2025Watch original
THE SUMMARYAI-generated

Key Concepts:

  • CNBC/SurveyMonkey Small Business Survey
  • Small Business Owner Confidence
  • Economic Outlook
  • Political Affiliation Impact
  • Inflation
  • Tariffs
  • Recession Concerns
  • Gender Disparity in Optimism

Small Business Confidence Decline

The latest CNBC/SurveyMonkey Small Business Survey indicates a decline in confidence among small business owners. The confidence level dropped to 51 points, a decrease from 56 points in the previous quarter. This suggests a growing unease about the current economic climate among this crucial sector of the economy.

Economic Assessment by Small Business Owners

A smaller percentage of small business owners now view the economy positively. Only 30% described the economy as "good" or "excellent," representing a decrease of approximately 10% from the previous survey. This decline in positive sentiment underscores the challenges and uncertainties faced by small businesses.

Political Affiliation and Economic Perception

The survey reveals a significant divergence in economic perception based on political affiliation. Only 8% of Democrats believe the economy is in good shape, a substantial decrease from 51% in the last quarter. In contrast, optimism among Republican small business owners has increased to 52%, a jump of 21 points. This stark contrast highlights the influence of political perspectives on economic assessments.

Top Concerns: Inflation and Tariffs

Inflation and tariffs remain the primary concerns for small business owners. A significant 70% believe that the U.S. is heading towards a recession, reflecting widespread anxiety about potential economic downturn. Additionally, 59% are worried about the ongoing impact of tariffs on their businesses, indicating the tangible effects of trade policies on their operations.

Gender Disparity in Economic Optimism

The survey also highlights a gender disparity in economic optimism. Women small business owners are less optimistic about the economy compared to their male counterparts. Only 21% of women expressed optimism, suggesting that they may be facing unique challenges or perceiving the economic environment differently.

Conclusion

The CNBC/SurveyMonkey Small Business Survey paints a picture of declining confidence and growing concerns among small business owners. Political affiliation significantly influences economic perception, with Democrats expressing less optimism than Republicans. Inflation and tariffs remain top concerns, and a majority of small business owners fear a recession. Furthermore, women small business owners exhibit lower levels of economic optimism compared to men. These findings underscore the need for policymakers and business leaders to address the specific challenges and concerns of small businesses to foster a more stable and supportive economic environment.

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