Mad Money 10/3/25 | Audio Only

By CNBC Television

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Key Concepts

  • Skepticism as Fuel: The idea that market gains are driven by skeptics and fear of missing out (FOMO).
  • Professional vs. Amateur Investors: Contrasting the approaches and concerns of professional money managers versus individual investors.
  • FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): The psychological driver of investors buying into overvalued assets.
  • Earnings Season: The period when companies release their quarterly earnings reports, which can significantly impact stock prices.
  • GOP-1s: Weight loss drugs that may reduce cravings, impacting the food and beverage industries.
  • AI Integration: The incorporation of artificial intelligence into various industries, particularly data centers.
  • Analyst Meetings: Events where companies provide updates and insights to analysts, potentially influencing stock performance.
  • Spin-offs: The creation of an independent company from a division of an existing company.
  • Activist Funds: Investment firms that take large stakes in companies and push for changes in management or strategy.
  • Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC): The policy-making body of the Federal Reserve System.
  • Prediction Markets: Platforms that allow users to bet on the outcome of events, including sports and politics.
  • Rare Earth Elements: A set of seventeen chemical elements crucial for various technologies, including electric vehicles and defense.
  • Dual Class Share Structure: A corporate structure where different classes of stock have different voting rights.
  • Tracking Stock: A type of stock whose value is tied to a specific division or set of assets within a company.
  • Parabolic Move: A rapid and unsustainable increase in a stock's price.
  • Own It, Don't Trade It: A long-term investment strategy focused on holding stocks of strong companies rather than frequent trading.

I. Market Overview and Investment Philosophy

  • Market Fuel: Jim Cramer believes the market is currently fueled by skeptics and individual investors, not professional money managers. Professionals are concerned about how far the markets have run, but amateurs are drawn to individual stocks.
  • Year-End Buying: As the year ends, professionals may buy to avoid missing out on the market's biggest winners.
  • FOMO: There's a sense of fear of missing out, with nearly everything, including crypto and gold, going higher.
  • Professional Skepticism: Professionals see bubbles everywhere, including data centers and quantum computing, and want these sectors to cool down.
  • Window of Opportunity: A window exists with no major earnings reports and momentum from individual investors, particularly in companies like Robinhood and Coinbase.
  • "I'm just trying to help you make a little bit of money. My job is not just Senator Kayton, but I'm trying to teach you a little bit here."

II. Next Week's Game Plan

  • Presidential Silence: The President has been quiet about stocks since the Pfizer deal, which benefited big pharma. Cramer expects another deal with a drug company soon.
  • Constellation Brands (STZ): Reports on Monday. The company has fallen out of favor, with CEO Bill Nulan citing the impact of ice raids on shopping destinations. The stock is cheap at 12 times earnings, but the multiple contraction is justified. GOP-1s may also reduce alcohol cravings.
  • CBC Investing Club: A monthly meeting with a special guest on Tuesday.
  • McCormick (MKC): Reports on Tuesday. The spice maker has a premium multiple, but the packaged food group is out of favor. Spices are a good trade-down material, offering a potential bounce.
  • Dell (DELL): Analyst meeting on Tuesday. Dell is a leader in AI integration with Nvidia. Michael Dell bought a large amount of stock earlier this year.
  • Solstice: Honeywell's advanced material spin-off, currently undervalued. Honeywell's breakup will create a pure-play aerospace company and a building automation company.
  • "I praise Dave in my new book, How to Make Money in Any Market, for his acumen at turning divisions around and constantly shuffling the portfolio to upgrade performance."
  • PepsiCo (PEP): Reports on Thursday. Elliot Management, an activist fund, has taken a large stake and wants changes. The stock yields 4% and has a solid snack franchise. Concerns exist about younger generations' health consciousness and GOP-1s.
  • Delta (DAL): Reports on Thursday. A tough stock, but still an appetite for travel. It might work as a trade, but many things can go wrong.
  • Levi Strauss (LEVI): Reports after the close on Thursday. The company has become reliable despite tariffs and hit a 52-week high.
  • Austin Goulsby: Speaks on Friday. As a voting member of the FOMC, his comments about an economy too strong to cut rates could restrain the market.
  • Labor Report Delay: Due to federal furloughs, the labor report is delayed, leaving everyone "flying blind."
  • Economic Weakness: There's anecdotal evidence of weakness, but nothing hardcore. The Fed needs to cut rates because the economy outside the data center buildout is weak.

III. Stock Specific Analysis and Viewer Questions

  • Fiserv (FI): Cramer advises waiting another quarter due to a poor last quarter.
  • HMS: Cramer calls it a "football stock" and suggests finding an easier one.
  • American Eagle Outfitters (AEO): Cramer suggests ringing the register after the Sydney Sweeney commercial event.
  • SoFi (SOFI): Cramer is a long-time bull on SoFi, citing its great numbers, profitability, and earnings growth. The company has expanded its banking offerings and is acquiring customers for life.
    • Total member count has more than doubled from 5.2 million in 2022 to 11.7 million the latest quarter.
    • Revenue has more than doubled too from 1.5 billion in 2022 to an expected 3.4 billion this year.
    • Last year, SoFi had its first positive earnings result making 15 cents per share and that's expected to more than double to 31 cents this year.
  • DraftKings (DKNG): The stock has been declining due to NFL favorites winning and competition from online prediction markets like Poly Market and Kowi. Cramer believes the sellers are overreacting and suggests putting on a small position.
    • The stock is now down almost 28% from his last month's peak, it closed at $35.37.
    • Kosht temporarily rolled out a new feature called build your own com build your combo.
  • MGM: Cramer is not a fan and suggests buying Wynn (WIN) instead, which is down due to weak golden week data.
  • Reddit: Cramer believes the pullback was excessive and suggests putting on some shares.
  • Wingstop (WING): Cramer is surprised it's going down and fears it due to a lack of guidance. He's holding back until earnings.
  • Ramaco Resources (METC): A coal producer with a rare earth elements kicker. The company acquired a mine in Wyoming with a potentially large deposit of rare earth elements. Cramer wishes he had found it earlier but doesn't feel comfortable recommending it after the parabolic move.
    • The stocks up almost 500% from its April lows, setting a fresh alltime high just today.
    • The company raised $57 million in new debt funding funding in late July. Then raised another 200 million in August through an underwritten secondary offering, Common Stock.
    • One analyst from Jeff who already covered the company, raising their price target substantially from $27 to $45.
    • The company feels like the kind of company that the Trump administration might be willing to take a stake in.
  • Ambit Micro (AMBQ): Cramer prefers Broadcom (AVGO).
  • Albertson's: Cramer doesn't like it due to the failed merger and Amazon's grocery launch. He prefers Costco.
  • UniQure: Cramer saw the positive clinical data but also saw insider selling and won't endorse it.
  • Chevron (CVX): Cramer spoke to Mike about the fire and isn't worried. He suggests buying some and waiting to see if it breaks down due to a possible $60 breakdown in oil prices.
  • LCI Industries: Cramer likes the thinking and believes it would benefit from lower interest rates.
  • Dillard's: Cramer suggests taking some profits off the table and buying Costco.

IV. Apple and the "Own It, Don't Trade It" Philosophy

  • iPhone Strength: Apple's stock has been roaring due to the strength of the new iPhone models.
  • Analyst Downgrade: Edison Lee at Jeffre downgraded Apple from hold to sell due to concerns about the iPhone 18.
  • Trading vs. Investing: Cramer argues that individual investors can't profit from frequent trading due to taxes and execution difficulties.
  • "Own Apple, don't trade it."
  • Long-Term Gains: Sticking with individual stocks like Apple can deliver life-changing wins if gains are allowed to compound.
  • "In my book, I praise sticking with Apple stocks, individual stocks like Apple, because they can deliver big wins, life-changing wins, but only if you let the gains compound year after year."

V. Conclusion

Cramer emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics, particularly the role of skepticism and individual investors. He provides specific stock recommendations and insights for the coming week, cautioning against overreacting to market fluctuations and advocating for a long-term investment approach, especially with strong companies like Apple. He also highlights the potential impact of external factors such as presidential policies, economic data, and competition from emerging markets like prediction platforms. The overall message is to stay informed, be selective, and focus on long-term growth rather than short-term gains.

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