Lightning Round: Cramer prefers Broadcom over Ambiq in lightning round
By CNBC Television
Key Concepts
- Semiconductor stocks, Broadcom (AVGO), Ambiq Micro (AMCU)
- Grocery stocks, Albertsons, Kroger, Costco
- Biotech stocks, Unicure, Huntington's disease, gene therapy, insider selling, parabolic stock movement
- Oil stocks, Chevron (CVX), Mike Wirth, oil price predictions
- Recreational vehicle (RV) stocks, LCI Industries, Thor Industries, interest rates
- Retail stocks, Dillard's, Costco, taking profits, high multiples
Stock Recommendations and Analysis
Semiconductor Stocks
- Ambiq Micro (AMCU): Cramer advises caution due to the abundance of good semiconductor companies.
- Broadcom (AVGO): Cramer prefers Broadcom over Ambiq Micro, citing its substantial new business and less speculative nature.
Grocery Stocks
- Albertsons: Cramer expresses concern about Albertsons due to the failed merger and Amazon's entry into the grocery market with Amazon Grocery.
- Kroger: Cramer acknowledges Kroger but notes its recent poor performance.
- Costco: Cramer recommends Costco, emphasizing its strength as a company and suggesting it as a better alternative to Albertsons and Kroger. He mentions buying Costco.
Biotech Stocks
- Unicure: Cramer acknowledges positive clinical data showing the slowing of Huntington's disease progression with Unicure's gene therapy. However, he notes significant insider selling (approximately $9 million) after the stock's run-up. He describes the stock's movement as a "parabola" and states he cannot endorse it due to too many unanswered questions, despite the positive news. He avoids parabolic moves.
Oil Stocks
- Chevron (CVX): Cramer spoke with Mike Wirth (Chevron CEO) about a fire, but is not concerned. He believes Chevron can be owned for its 4.5% yield. He predicts oil prices may fall below $60 and advises being prepared for a potential breakdown in the stock price. He notes the stock was previously at $135 and is currently at $153, suggesting buying some now and waiting to see if it breaks down further.
Recreational Vehicle (RV) Stocks
- LCI Industries: Cramer acknowledges LCI Industries as a potentially undervalued stock with a decent dividend and below-market PE, which could benefit from decreasing interest rates and the wealth effect from "Nvidia millionaires." He notes that LCI Industries has underperformed Thor Industries, despite being in a similar business. He suggests buying LCI Industries if Thor is performing strongly, anticipating a potential catch-up.
Retail Stocks
- Dillard's: Cramer acknowledges a caller's significant gains (42%) on Dillard's since November 2021. However, he advises taking some profits off the table and letting the rest run due to concerns about the company's numbers and high multiples. He recommends selling some Dillard's and buying Costco instead.
Key Arguments and Perspectives
- Diversification in Semiconductors: Cramer emphasizes the importance of choosing established semiconductor companies with strong business fundamentals over speculative plays.
- Impact of Amazon on Grocery Retail: Cramer highlights the potential negative impact of Amazon's entry into the grocery market on traditional grocery chains like Albertsons.
- Insider Selling as a Red Flag: Cramer views significant insider selling after positive news as a warning sign, making him hesitant to recommend a stock, even with promising clinical data.
- Oil Price Volatility: Cramer anticipates potential volatility in oil prices and advises caution when investing in oil stocks like Chevron.
- Interest Rate Sensitivity of RV Stocks: Cramer suggests that RV stocks like LCI Industries could benefit from decreasing interest rates.
- Taking Profits on High-Multiple Stocks: Cramer advises taking profits on stocks with high multiples, even if they have performed well, due to potential risks.
Notable Quotes
- "I'd rather see you in Broadcom Avgo. I think that's a not as obviously it's not a speculative but I like it because it's really got a lot of new business." (Regarding semiconductor stocks)
- "I don't like Albertsons here because exactly what you just said. I think that's the worry." (Referring to the caller's concerns about the failed merger and Amazon Grocery)
- "It's a parabola. And after a parabolic move, I will not endorse it. Even if I think it's good. I have to stay away." (Regarding Unicure's stock movement)
- "I think you can own this 4.5% yield now. I'm not a big fan of oil. I think you'd go below 60, so be ready if it does do that." (Regarding Chevron)
- "Let's take some of it off the table and let the rest run, okay? Because the numbers aren't that great and the multiples really high." (Regarding Dillard's)
Technical Terms and Concepts
- Semiconductor: A material with electrical conductivity between a conductor and an insulator, used in electronic devices.
- Merger: The combining of two or more companies into one.
- Clinical Data: Information gathered during clinical trials to assess the safety and efficacy of a drug or treatment.
- Gene Therapy: The introduction of genes into a patient's cells to treat or prevent disease.
- Insider Selling: The sale of stock by individuals with access to non-public information about the company.
- Parabola: A U-shaped curve, often used to describe a rapid increase and subsequent decrease in a stock's price.
- Yield: The income return on an investment, typically expressed as a percentage.
- PE (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: A valuation ratio that compares a company's stock price to its earnings per share.
- Multiples: Ratios used to value a company, such as the price-to-earnings ratio.
Logical Connections
The lightning round format connects the segments through rapid-fire stock analysis and recommendations. Cramer addresses each caller's specific stock question, providing his perspective and suggesting alternative investments when he deems necessary. He uses current events (e.g., Amazon Grocery, oil price predictions) and company-specific information (e.g., insider selling, clinical data) to support his recommendations.
Synthesis/Conclusion
The Lightning Round provides a diverse range of stock recommendations and cautionary advice. Cramer emphasizes the importance of considering company fundamentals, market trends, and potential risks when making investment decisions. He highlights the significance of diversification, taking profits, and avoiding speculative plays. His analysis incorporates both quantitative (e.g., PE ratios, yield) and qualitative (e.g., management quality, market position) factors. The segment underscores the need for investors to stay informed and adapt their strategies based on evolving market conditions.
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