I found Starbucks' overall results pretty encouraging, says Jim Cramer

CNBC TelevisionAbout 2 min readJul 31, 2025Watch original
THE SUMMARYAI-generated

Starbucks Earnings Analysis

Key Concepts:

  • Same-Store Sales: Sales generated by stores open for at least one year.
  • Throughput: The rate at which customers are served and orders are processed.
  • Turnaround: A significant improvement in a company's financial performance.
  • One-Off Items: Non-recurring expenses or gains that affect a company's earnings.
  • Third Place: A concept referring to a comfortable and welcoming environment outside of home and work.

Initial Market Reaction and Context

Starbucks' stock experienced significant volatility following the earnings report, initially tumbling in after-hours trading, then surging at the open, followed by another plunge before ultimately stabilizing. Despite weaker-than-expected headline numbers, the overall results were viewed as encouraging. The speaker's charitable trust has held Starbucks stock for a long time.

Brian Nickel's Impact as CEO

Brian Nickel, previously of Chipotle, was hired as CEO and is expected to orchestrate a turnaround at Starbucks. The stock jumped almost 25% on the day he was hired. Concerns about tariffs and the difficulty of the turnaround caused a stock plunge in March and April.

Turnaround Strategy

Nickel's plan focuses on two key areas:

  1. Improving Throughput: Addressing the problem of long wait times by processing orders more quickly, aiming for a target of less than four minutes per order.
  2. Enhancing the In-Store Experience: Recreating the "third place" environment, reminiscent of the older Starbucks experience.

Previous Earnings Report (Late April)

The company reported a top and bottom-line miss, with particularly weak numbers from the United States business. This raised concerns about the timeline for the turnaround. The speaker remained a believer and advised investing club members to buy the stock.

Current Earnings Report Analysis

  • Headline Numbers: Global same-store sales were down 2%, compared to Wall Street expectations of a 1.3% decline. Revenue was higher than expected, but earnings were soft.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): Starbucks reported 50 cents per share, while Wall Street expected 65 cents.
  • One-Off Items: A tax charge and an expensive leadership meeting significantly impacted earnings. Without these, EPS would have been 61 cents, a smaller miss.

Conclusion

Despite the initial negative market reaction and headline misses, the speaker remains optimistic about Starbucks' future due to Brian Nickel's leadership and the ongoing turnaround plan. The impact of one-off items on the recent earnings report suggests that the underlying performance may be stronger than initially perceived.

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