GoldMining: CEO Update - Why São Jorge and La Mina Could Be Game-Changers
By Swiss Resource Capital AG
Key Concepts
- PEA (Preliminary Economic Assessment): A study that provides an initial view of the potential economic viability of a mineral project.
- NPV (Net Present Value): The value of all future cash flows (positive and negative) over the life of a project, discounted to the present.
- IRR (Internal Rate of Return): A metric used to estimate the profitability of potential investments.
- Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEO): A unit that expresses the total value of various metals (gold, copper, etc.) in terms of gold ounces.
- Porphyry System: A type of large-scale mineral deposit, often containing copper and gold, typically mined in large volumes.
- Capex (Capital Expenditure): The funds used by a company to acquire, upgrade, and maintain physical assets.
- Re-rate: A market adjustment where a company’s stock price increases to better reflect its underlying asset value.
1. Project Updates and Economic Highlights
Sao Jorge Project (Brazil)
- Economic Metrics: The recent PEA indicates an NPV of over $500 million USD and an IRR exceeding 40%.
- Production Profile: Designed for a 10-year mine life, processing 5,500 tons per day to produce approximately 50,000 ounces of gold annually.
- Strategic Advantages: The project is located less than 2 km from a paved highway with access to industrial power. It is situated on a 46,000-hectare property with significant exploration upside.
- Development Status: The company is transitioning toward pre-feasibility studies, focusing on geotechnical, hydrogeological, and mine optimization planning.
La Mina Project (Colombia)
- Economic Metrics: Updated PEA shows an NPV of over $1 billion USD.
- Production Profile: Expected to produce over 150,000 gold equivalent ounces per year over a 10-year period.
- Composition: Copper contributes 25%–30% of total revenue, providing strategic value as a critical metal.
- Competitive Edge: Unlike high-altitude Andean projects that require billions in infrastructure, La Mina is located in favorable topography, making it an attractive "right-sized" asset for mid-tier or major producers.
2. Exploration and Pipeline Projects
- Yaromalito (Colombia): A gold-copper porphyry project currently undergoing its first company-led drill program (1,200 meters). The objective is to increase resource confidence and support permitting.
- Crucero (Peru): Recently updated to include antimony in its gold equivalent resource calculations, attracting significant interest for potential partnership or development.
- Yellowknife (Canada): A high-grade project (>2 g/t gold) that includes the past-producing Discovery Mine (which historically produced 1 million ounces at >1 oz/ton). The company is currently building a 3D geological model to prepare for future advancement.
- US Gold Mining (Subsidiary): Gold Mining Inc. holds a 74% stake in this Nasdaq-listed entity, which is currently drilling a large gold-copper system in Alaska.
3. Corporate Strategy and M&A Perspective
- Value Realization: CEO Alister Still emphasized that the company’s strategy is to acquire undervalued assets, de-risk them through studies (PEAs/Pre-feasibility), and either develop them or monetize them through partnerships/acquisitions.
- Market Position: The company maintains a strong balance sheet with no debt and significant cash/marketable securities.
- M&A Environment: The CEO noted an "uptick" in industry M&A activity, suggesting that Gold Mining’s portfolio is well-positioned for potential re-rating as projects move toward development.
- Key Quote: "We think the value of these projects far exceeds what the current market valuation of the company is. So, really it's about determining and delighting value from these projects." — Alister Still.
4. Methodologies and Operational Framework
- Study Progression: The company follows a disciplined path: Resource definition → PEA → Pre-feasibility studies (Gantt chart planning for geotechnical/hydrogeological/fleet studies) → Permitting.
- Management: The company recently appointed a new VP of Project Development with 30+ years of experience to oversee the transition from exploration to development.
- Conservative Modeling: The company utilizes long-term industry consensus pricing (e.g., $3,500/oz gold for PEA base cases) rather than current spot prices to ensure economic robustness.
Synthesis and Conclusion
Gold Mining Inc. is actively transitioning from a pure exploration-focused company to a development-oriented firm. By delivering two major PEAs (Sao Jorge and La Mina) that demonstrate high NPVs and manageable Capex, the company aims to bridge the gap between its current market capitalization and the intrinsic value of its assets. With a diverse pipeline—ranging from gold-copper porphyries in Colombia to high-grade projects in Canada—the company is positioning itself as a prime candidate for M&A activity or strategic partnerships in the coming 6–12 months.
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