EASIEST Way to Trade ICT (Full Free ICT Course)

By Casper SMC

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Key Concepts

Market Structure, Manipulation, Displacement, Impulse Structure, Premium & Discount, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Liquidity, Order Blocks, Manipulation Blocks, Breaker Blocks, Time & Price, Power of Three, Time-Based Liquidity, Daily Bias, Market Maker Models (MMM), SMT Divergence, Risk Management.

1. Market Structure

  • Definition: Highs and lows in the market. Key is identifying which highs and lows are significant.
  • Importance: Foundation of analysis, involved in every ICT concept.
  • Manipulation vs. Displacement:
    • Manipulation: Price action that fails to displace or push rapidly beyond structure. Often involves taking out liquidity (stop losses). Look for reversals after manipulation.
    • Displacement: Energetic push through structure, creating fair value gaps. Expect continuation after displacement.
    • Example: Market pushes up through a high without forming fair value gaps (manipulation), then reverses. Market displaces through a low, creating a fair value gap, then continues lower.
  • Internal Range Liquidity (IRL) to External Range Liquidity (ERL): Market moves between fair value gaps (internal) and highs/lows (external).

2. Impulse Structure

  • Definition: Structure formed with displacement and fair value gaps.
  • Key Point: Not all structure is equal. Only consider structure formed with forceful pushes.
  • Higher Time Frame (HTF) vs. Lower Time Frame (LTF): HTF impulses contain many LTF impulses. Use LTF structure in context of HTF direction.
  • Application: Ignore structure that isn't manipulation/displacement. Look to sell above highs (with confirmations) if overall impulse is bearish.

3. Premium and Discount

  • Concept: Apply business principles to trading. Sell at a premium, buy at a discount.
  • Tool: Use Fibonacci retracement tool (settings provided) to mark out the midpoint of a range.
    • Above 0.5: Premium (look to sell if bearish)
    • Below 0.5: Discount (look to buy if bullish)
  • Context is Key: Don't blindly sell in premium or buy in discount. Use in conjunction with market structure and bias.
  • Application: Use premium/discount to determine where a trend is likely to end.

4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG)

  • Definition: Three-candle formation with an expansive middle candle, creating a gap between the wicks of candle 1 and candle 3.
  • Significance: Shows displacement and a desire to move further.
  • Usage: Higher time frame levels, directional bias, trade entries, stop losses.
  • High Probability vs. Low Probability FVGs:
    • High Probability:
      • One-Sided Gaps: Consistent candle direction (all up-close or all down-close). Shows consistent momentum.
      • Break and Structure Gaps (BSG): FVG that breaks through structure.
      • Combination: One-sided AND break and structure gap.
    • Low Probability:
      • Two-Sided Gaps: Inconsistent candle direction (mix of up-close and down-close). Shows lack of displacement.
  • Inverted Fair Value Gaps (iFVG): When the market closes outside of a fair value gap. Indicates a likely change in direction.
    • Look for iFVGs at two-sided gaps or break and structure gaps that fail.
    • After iFVG confirmation, look for opposing liquidity.

5. Liquidity

  • Definition: The ease with which an asset can be bought or sold.
  • Importance: Smart money needs liquidity to get active in the market.
  • Trading with Smart Money:
    • Bullish Market: Buy from sellers (below lows/sell-side liquidity).
    • Bearish Market: Sell to buyers (above highs/buy-side liquidity).
  • Application: In an impulse, buy below lows if bullish, sell above highs if bearish.

6. Order Blocks

  • Definition: Candles formed just before expansive moves in price. Used as levels to trade from.
  • Bullish Market: Down-close candles before a move up.
  • Bearish Market: Up-close candles before a move down.
  • Ideal Characteristics: Occur before a fair value gap and displacement.
  • Institutional Perspective: Order blocks represent areas where institutions are buying/selling against retail trends (e.g., selling to create a manipulation to buy lower).

7. Manipulation Blocks

  • Definition: Same as an order block, except it closes beyond liquidity.
  • Higher Probability: Especially powerful if the very next candle engulfs it (body engulfs body).
  • Application: Use the candle that closes beyond liquidity as the key level.

8. Breaker Blocks

  • Definition: Levels that occur before raids on liquidity (manipulation).
  • Key Times: Look for them during volatile times of day when liquidity sweeps are expected.
  • Unicorn Model: Breaker block linked with a fair value gap.
  • Identification:
    • Bullish Breaker: Up-close candle before a run on stops (sweep of lows), quickly engulfed.
    • Bearish Breaker: Down-close candle before a run on stops (sweep of highs), quickly engulfed.
  • Confirmation: Look for engulfing of the breaker block candle.

9. Time & Price

  • Definition: Analyzing the market using time cycles and session behavior.
  • Importance: Refines trade selection, identifies liquidity sweeps, understands market cycles.
  • Power of Three (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution):
    • Accumulation: Ranging, consolidation.
    • Manipulation: Liquidity raids, stop hunts.
    • Distribution: Expansive moves in the direction of the trend.
  • Trading Focus: Trade manipulation and distribution, avoid trading during accumulation.
  • Time Cycles (Weekly & Daily):
    • Weekly: Monday (accumulation), Tuesday (manipulation), Wednesday (distribution), Thursday (continuation/reversal).
    • Daily: Asia (accumulation), London (manipulation), New York AM (distribution), New York PM (continuation/reversal).
  • Key Principle: Expansion in one session/day often leads to consolidation in the next.
  • Time-Based Liquidity: Highs and lows made during specific time periods (e.g., previous week's high, London session high).

10. Daily Bias

  • Definition: The expected direction of the current daily candle (bullish or bearish).
  • Importance: Essential for trading the correct side of the market.
  • Key Concepts:
    • Internal to External Range Liquidity
    • Candle by Candle Bias: Engulfing patterns indicate likely direction.
    • Alignment: Higher time frames (weekly, daily) in agreement.
    • Reactivity Theory: Observing how price reacts to key levels (FVGs, order blocks). Are we seeing displacement away from these levels?

11. Market Maker Models (MMM)

  • Definition: Strategy to visualize retracements and expansions on a lower time frame.
  • Purpose: Identify the side of the curve you're on, confirm higher time frame bias, aid in trade entries and stop loss placement.
  • Structure: Two or more consolidations leading into a reversal.
  • Confirmation: Market structure shift (displacement) on a lower time frame.
  • Trading Focus: On the "right side" of the MMM, only look for one side of price action (e.g., only buy if bullish).

12. SMT Divergence

  • Definition: Smart Money Tool. A crack in correlation between related assets, indicating manipulation.
  • Examples:
    • NQ (Nasdaq) and ES (S&P 500): Should move together.
    • EU (EUR/USD) and DXY (US Dollar Index): Should move inversely.
    • Bitcoin and Ethereum: Should move together.
  • Interpretation:
    • Divergence at highs: Bearish.
    • Divergence at lows: Bullish.

13. Trading Plan (Putting It All Together)

  • Bias Checklist:
    1. Weekly IRL to ERL and weekly candle bias.
    2. Daily time frame analysis (IRL to ERL, candle bias).
    3. Market maker models to confirm.
    4. Reactions to time-based liquidity and opening price.
  • Economic Calendar: Use to map out the week and anticipate volatility. Focus on red folder news events.
  • Entry Checklist (Requires Clear Bias):
    1. Higher time frames equal lower time frames (alignment).
    2. Manipulation beyond session open or time-based liquidity swept.
    3. Lower time frame confirmation (market structure shift, SMT divergence, or inverted fair value gap).
  • Lower Time Frame Confirmations:
    • Market Structure Shift: Break of impulse structure, creating a fair value gap.
    • SMT Divergence: Crack in correlation between related assets.
    • Inverted Fair Value Gap: Market closes a candle outside of a fair value gap.
  • Targeting: Opposing time-based liquidity (previous day's high/low, session high/low).

14. Risk Management

  • R (Risk per Trade) Calculation: Total drawdown / Number of consecutive losses.
  • Dynamic Risk Adjustment:
    • Start at 1R.
    • At 2R profit, risk 2R.
    • In drawdown, cut risk in half.
  • Daily Stop Loss: Stop trading after two losses or one win (with 2R or better risk-to-reward).
  • Trimming vs. Break Even Stops: Trimming secures profit, reduces risk, and allows for more flexibility.

Synthesis/Conclusion

This video provides a comprehensive ICT trading strategy, emphasizing the importance of understanding market structure, identifying manipulation and displacement, and using time-based analysis to refine entries and targets. The strategy involves a top-down approach, starting with higher time frame bias and using lower time frame confirmations to execute trades. Risk management is also crucial, with a focus on dynamic risk adjustment and limiting daily losses. The key takeaway is that successful ICT trading requires a combination of multiple confluences and a disciplined approach to risk management.

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