EASIEST Way to Trade ICT (Full Free ICT Course)
By Casper SMC
Key Concepts
Market Structure, Manipulation, Displacement, Impulse Structure, Premium & Discount, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Liquidity, Order Blocks, Manipulation Blocks, Breaker Blocks, Time & Price, Power of Three, Time-Based Liquidity, Daily Bias, Market Maker Models (MMM), SMT Divergence, Risk Management.
1. Market Structure
- Definition: Highs and lows in the market. Key is identifying which highs and lows are significant.
- Importance: Foundation of analysis, involved in every ICT concept.
- Manipulation vs. Displacement:
- Manipulation: Price action that fails to displace or push rapidly beyond structure. Often involves taking out liquidity (stop losses). Look for reversals after manipulation.
- Displacement: Energetic push through structure, creating fair value gaps. Expect continuation after displacement.
- Example: Market pushes up through a high without forming fair value gaps (manipulation), then reverses. Market displaces through a low, creating a fair value gap, then continues lower.
- Internal Range Liquidity (IRL) to External Range Liquidity (ERL): Market moves between fair value gaps (internal) and highs/lows (external).
2. Impulse Structure
- Definition: Structure formed with displacement and fair value gaps.
- Key Point: Not all structure is equal. Only consider structure formed with forceful pushes.
- Higher Time Frame (HTF) vs. Lower Time Frame (LTF): HTF impulses contain many LTF impulses. Use LTF structure in context of HTF direction.
- Application: Ignore structure that isn't manipulation/displacement. Look to sell above highs (with confirmations) if overall impulse is bearish.
3. Premium and Discount
- Concept: Apply business principles to trading. Sell at a premium, buy at a discount.
- Tool: Use Fibonacci retracement tool (settings provided) to mark out the midpoint of a range.
- Above 0.5: Premium (look to sell if bearish)
- Below 0.5: Discount (look to buy if bullish)
- Context is Key: Don't blindly sell in premium or buy in discount. Use in conjunction with market structure and bias.
- Application: Use premium/discount to determine where a trend is likely to end.
4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
- Definition: Three-candle formation with an expansive middle candle, creating a gap between the wicks of candle 1 and candle 3.
- Significance: Shows displacement and a desire to move further.
- Usage: Higher time frame levels, directional bias, trade entries, stop losses.
- High Probability vs. Low Probability FVGs:
- High Probability:
- One-Sided Gaps: Consistent candle direction (all up-close or all down-close). Shows consistent momentum.
- Break and Structure Gaps (BSG): FVG that breaks through structure.
- Combination: One-sided AND break and structure gap.
- Low Probability:
- Two-Sided Gaps: Inconsistent candle direction (mix of up-close and down-close). Shows lack of displacement.
- High Probability:
- Inverted Fair Value Gaps (iFVG): When the market closes outside of a fair value gap. Indicates a likely change in direction.
- Look for iFVGs at two-sided gaps or break and structure gaps that fail.
- After iFVG confirmation, look for opposing liquidity.
5. Liquidity
- Definition: The ease with which an asset can be bought or sold.
- Importance: Smart money needs liquidity to get active in the market.
- Trading with Smart Money:
- Bullish Market: Buy from sellers (below lows/sell-side liquidity).
- Bearish Market: Sell to buyers (above highs/buy-side liquidity).
- Application: In an impulse, buy below lows if bullish, sell above highs if bearish.
6. Order Blocks
- Definition: Candles formed just before expansive moves in price. Used as levels to trade from.
- Bullish Market: Down-close candles before a move up.
- Bearish Market: Up-close candles before a move down.
- Ideal Characteristics: Occur before a fair value gap and displacement.
- Institutional Perspective: Order blocks represent areas where institutions are buying/selling against retail trends (e.g., selling to create a manipulation to buy lower).
7. Manipulation Blocks
- Definition: Same as an order block, except it closes beyond liquidity.
- Higher Probability: Especially powerful if the very next candle engulfs it (body engulfs body).
- Application: Use the candle that closes beyond liquidity as the key level.
8. Breaker Blocks
- Definition: Levels that occur before raids on liquidity (manipulation).
- Key Times: Look for them during volatile times of day when liquidity sweeps are expected.
- Unicorn Model: Breaker block linked with a fair value gap.
- Identification:
- Bullish Breaker: Up-close candle before a run on stops (sweep of lows), quickly engulfed.
- Bearish Breaker: Down-close candle before a run on stops (sweep of highs), quickly engulfed.
- Confirmation: Look for engulfing of the breaker block candle.
9. Time & Price
- Definition: Analyzing the market using time cycles and session behavior.
- Importance: Refines trade selection, identifies liquidity sweeps, understands market cycles.
- Power of Three (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution):
- Accumulation: Ranging, consolidation.
- Manipulation: Liquidity raids, stop hunts.
- Distribution: Expansive moves in the direction of the trend.
- Trading Focus: Trade manipulation and distribution, avoid trading during accumulation.
- Time Cycles (Weekly & Daily):
- Weekly: Monday (accumulation), Tuesday (manipulation), Wednesday (distribution), Thursday (continuation/reversal).
- Daily: Asia (accumulation), London (manipulation), New York AM (distribution), New York PM (continuation/reversal).
- Key Principle: Expansion in one session/day often leads to consolidation in the next.
- Time-Based Liquidity: Highs and lows made during specific time periods (e.g., previous week's high, London session high).
10. Daily Bias
- Definition: The expected direction of the current daily candle (bullish or bearish).
- Importance: Essential for trading the correct side of the market.
- Key Concepts:
- Internal to External Range Liquidity
- Candle by Candle Bias: Engulfing patterns indicate likely direction.
- Alignment: Higher time frames (weekly, daily) in agreement.
- Reactivity Theory: Observing how price reacts to key levels (FVGs, order blocks). Are we seeing displacement away from these levels?
11. Market Maker Models (MMM)
- Definition: Strategy to visualize retracements and expansions on a lower time frame.
- Purpose: Identify the side of the curve you're on, confirm higher time frame bias, aid in trade entries and stop loss placement.
- Structure: Two or more consolidations leading into a reversal.
- Confirmation: Market structure shift (displacement) on a lower time frame.
- Trading Focus: On the "right side" of the MMM, only look for one side of price action (e.g., only buy if bullish).
12. SMT Divergence
- Definition: Smart Money Tool. A crack in correlation between related assets, indicating manipulation.
- Examples:
- NQ (Nasdaq) and ES (S&P 500): Should move together.
- EU (EUR/USD) and DXY (US Dollar Index): Should move inversely.
- Bitcoin and Ethereum: Should move together.
- Interpretation:
- Divergence at highs: Bearish.
- Divergence at lows: Bullish.
13. Trading Plan (Putting It All Together)
- Bias Checklist:
- Weekly IRL to ERL and weekly candle bias.
- Daily time frame analysis (IRL to ERL, candle bias).
- Market maker models to confirm.
- Reactions to time-based liquidity and opening price.
- Economic Calendar: Use to map out the week and anticipate volatility. Focus on red folder news events.
- Entry Checklist (Requires Clear Bias):
- Higher time frames equal lower time frames (alignment).
- Manipulation beyond session open or time-based liquidity swept.
- Lower time frame confirmation (market structure shift, SMT divergence, or inverted fair value gap).
- Lower Time Frame Confirmations:
- Market Structure Shift: Break of impulse structure, creating a fair value gap.
- SMT Divergence: Crack in correlation between related assets.
- Inverted Fair Value Gap: Market closes a candle outside of a fair value gap.
- Targeting: Opposing time-based liquidity (previous day's high/low, session high/low).
14. Risk Management
- R (Risk per Trade) Calculation: Total drawdown / Number of consecutive losses.
- Dynamic Risk Adjustment:
- Start at 1R.
- At 2R profit, risk 2R.
- In drawdown, cut risk in half.
- Daily Stop Loss: Stop trading after two losses or one win (with 2R or better risk-to-reward).
- Trimming vs. Break Even Stops: Trimming secures profit, reduces risk, and allows for more flexibility.
Synthesis/Conclusion
This video provides a comprehensive ICT trading strategy, emphasizing the importance of understanding market structure, identifying manipulation and displacement, and using time-based analysis to refine entries and targets. The strategy involves a top-down approach, starting with higher time frame bias and using lower time frame confirmations to execute trades. Risk management is also crucial, with a focus on dynamic risk adjustment and limiting daily losses. The key takeaway is that successful ICT trading requires a combination of multiple confluences and a disciplined approach to risk management.
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