CPI Report LIVE 🔥 | $INTC +7% on Earnings 🚀 | $GOOGL AI Cloud Deal ☁️ | Oct 24 Live Trading

By TraderTV Live

Stock Market AnalysisEarnings ReportsEconomic Data ReleasesTrading Strategies
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Here's a comprehensive summary of the YouTube video transcript, maintaining the original language and technical precision:

Key Concepts:

  • Inflation Data (CPI): The primary market driver discussed at the beginning of the video.
  • Market Reaction: Positive, with indices reaching all-time highs following lower-than-expected CPI.
  • Interest Rate Cuts: The data suggests a higher probability of continued rate cuts.
  • Company Earnings: Intel, Ford, Target, Deckers, Proctor & Gamble, Beyond Meat, and others are discussed.
  • Quantum Computing: Names like IonQ, Rigetti, and QBTS are in focus due to potential government funding.
  • AI and Tech: Nvidia, Google (TPUs), and AMD are highlighted for their roles in AI infrastructure.
  • Cryptocurrency: Bitcoin and Coinbase are mentioned in the context of market movements and JP Morgan's upgrade.
  • Trade Talk: US-Canada trade talks termination and its potential impact.
  • Technical Trading: Concepts like VWAP, support/resistance, trend breaks, and scalping are applied.
  • Volatility: Significant price swings observed in stocks like Tesla and Beyond Meat.

Summary:

The video opens with a positive market sentiment as traders await crucial inflation data. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is released, showing year-over-year inflation at 3% and core year-over-year at 3%, both 0.1% lower than expected. Month-over-month figures also came in below forecasts (0.3% for non-core and 2% for core). This cooler-than-expected inflation data triggers a strong bullish reaction, pushing major indices, including the NASDAQ, to new all-time highs. The market interprets this as a positive sign for potential continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Market Performance and Reaction to CPI:

  • Indices: The ENQ, ES, Dow, and Russell 2000 are all trading in positive territory. The NASDAQ reaches new all-time highs, surpassing 6174. The ES is up 1%.
  • Bitcoin: Trading above $111,000, showing strength.
  • Specific Stocks: Tesla is noted to be up significantly, and Nvidia is also showing upward momentum. Robinhood is highlighted as "flying," up 3.12% on the inflation news. Apple is also nearing all-time highs.
  • Market Interpretation: The consensus is that the lower CPI print validates a bullish outlook and supports the narrative of potential rate cuts.

Company Earnings and News:

  • Intel (INTC): Reported earnings, beating revenue expectations ($13.65 billion vs. $13 billion expected). However, adjusted EPS was not directly comparable due to unique accounting. The company benefited from significant investments, including $8.9 billion from the US government and $5 billion from Nvidia. Segment performance showed client computing up 3% year-over-year, while data center and foundry services were down year-over-year. Headcount was reduced from 124,100 to 88,500. Analysts raised price targets but maintained neutral to underweight ratings, indicating skepticism despite potential upside. The stock gapped up but struggled to hold its gains, trading below VWAP.
  • Ford (F): Beat Q3 expectations but cut its 2025 outlook due to a supplier fire. The stock showed strength, trading up significantly.
  • Target (TGT): Cut 1,800 jobs amid stagnant growth.
  • Deckers (DECK): Down approximately 12% in pre-market trading on earnings, with lower-than-expected sales guidance for the fiscal year. The stock broke key support levels, indicating technical weakness.
  • Proctor & Gamble (PG): Beat Q1 expectations but warned of potential headwinds from tariffs.
  • Beyond Meat (BYND): Released preliminary Q3 results showing revenue in line with guidance ($70 million) but with continued softness in core markets and reduced gross margins. The company also expects a material non-cash impairment charge. The stock experienced significant volatility, trading as a "round trip" and showing a potential bottoming tail at the $3 level.
  • Google (GOOGL): Expanding its partnership with Anthropic with a massive TPU (Tensor Processing Unit) deal, valued in the tens of billions of dollars over multiple years. This involves access to over 1 million TPUs and adds over a gigawatt of compute capacity. The deal utilizes a multi-cloud architecture, including Google's Ironwood TPUs (7th gen). Anthropic's annual revenue run rate has surged to $7 billion. Google's stock showed a significant spike on this news but faced resistance around the $257 level.
  • AMD (AMD): Showing strong momentum, up significantly on news of IBM successfully running a quantum error correction algorithm on AMD's chips. This marks a milestone for quantum computing commercialization.
  • Apple (AAPL): Beginning US AI server production in Houston, a move seen as positive for domestic manufacturing.
  • Eli Lilly (LLY): Made an acquisition of ADVM for $3.56 cash plus a contingent value right (CVR) of $8.91. There's also speculation about a potential acquisition of NKTR (Nectar Therapeutics).

Quantum Computing Focus:

  • Government Funding Speculation: Names like IonQ (IONQ), Rigetti (RGTI), and QBTS are in focus due to ongoing speculation about US government investment and equity stakes in quantum companies. Officials from the Commerce Department denied talks of equity stakes, creating uncertainty.
  • Price Action: Despite the uncertainty, these names showed upward movement. Rigetti was highlighted for its potential to hold the $42 level and trade around VWAP.
  • Analyst Commentary: One analyst, Skrey, criticized US quantum investments, arguing the private sector has sufficient capital.

US-Canada Trade Talks:

  • Termination: President Trump terminated US-Canada trade talks due to a provincial government's ad campaign regarding tariffs. This is seen as a known development and is expected to be a temporary situation, though it could impact auto manufacturers.

Technical Trading and Strategy:

  • VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): Frequently used as a key level for entry and exit, especially for intraday trades. Holding or breaking VWAP is a significant indicator.
  • Support and Resistance: Levels like $25,500 for the NASDAQ, $450 for Tesla, and specific price points for individual stocks are closely watched.
  • Trend Following and Reversions: Traders discussed playing both trend continuation (e.g., AMD, Ford) and reversions (e.g., Beyond Meat, Tesla).
  • Scalping: Short-term trades, often for small profits, were employed, particularly in volatile names like Tesla.
  • Risk Management: Emphasis on using stops, taking profits, and not over-leveraging, especially in small-cap or volatile stocks.
  • Small Caps: WGRX was a notable small-cap trade, breaking the $1 level and showing trend continuation. Beyond Meat was discussed for its reversion potential around $3.

Other Notable Mentions:

  • Coinbase (COIN): Upgraded to "overweight" by JP Morgan with a price target of $404, implying 25% upside. Growth drivers include revenue diversification, ecosystem expansion, and monetization of stablecoins, particularly the "Base token." JP Morgan is also allowing Bitcoin and Ether as collateral for loans.
  • Bitcoin (BTC): While not making new all-time highs like the broader market, it's seen as potentially playing catch-up. Concerns were raised about its relative weakness compared to other indices.
  • US Dollar: Described as choppy and struggling to break resistance at 99.2.
  • Gold: Down earlier in the day but made a move up off its lows.
  • Oil: November contract trading around $62.
  • WGRX (Wellstat Logistics): A small-cap stock that broke the $1 level and showed potential for further upside, especially if it holds VWAP.
  • Tesla (TSLA): Experienced extreme volatility, with rapid swings and significant reversals, making it a challenging but active trade for many.
  • Palantir (PLTR): Identified as a top trade idea, showing strong performance and breakout potential.
  • Newegg (NEG): Noted for a significant upward move despite not making profits.
  • Clover (CLOV): Saw social media attention and a price push higher, with speculation of a buyout.
  • Lumen Technologies (LUMN): Discussed in the context of a potential trade strategy around earnings.
  • Alcoa (AA): Called a "sneaky AI play" by one user.

Conclusion/Synthesis:

The trading day was dominated by the positive market reaction to lower-than-expected CPI data, propelling indices to new all-time highs and fueling optimism for potential Fed rate cuts. While large-cap tech and financial stocks showed strength, individual company earnings and news created significant volatility in specific names like Tesla, Beyond Meat, and Intel. The quantum computing sector remained a focal point due to speculative government interest, and US-Canada trade tensions added a layer of geopolitical consideration. Traders actively navigated these dynamics, employing various strategies from trend following to scalping, with a strong emphasis on technical levels like VWAP and key support/resistance. The day highlighted the ongoing strength in the broader market, but also the inherent risks and opportunities presented by individual stock-specific catalysts and market sentiment shifts.

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