Chart Master: Key S&P 500 levels to watch
By CNBC Television
Key Concepts:
- Bear Market (defined as a 20%+ decline from a record high)
- Uptrend Line (a line connecting a series of higher lows, indicating an upward trend)
- COVID Low (the market low point during the initial COVID-19 pandemic)
- 2022 Bear Market Low (the lowest point reached during the 2022 bear market)
- 2021 Bull Market Peak (the highest point reached during the bull market that followed the COVID crash)
- Support Level (a price level where a stock or index tends to stop falling due to buying interest)
Market Analysis and Key Levels
The segment discusses the recent market volatility and whether the market has officially entered a bear market. Carter Worth of Worth Charting notes that the S&P 500 had fallen more than 20% from its record high, technically meeting the definition of a bear market.
Technical Analysis and Charting
Worth emphasizes the importance of technical analysis, specifically using charts to identify key support and resistance levels. He highlights the following:
- Uptrend Line: An uptrend line drawn from the COVID low through the 2022 bear market low intersects with the current market level. This uptrend line has acted as a significant support level.
- 2021 Bull Market Peak: The 2021 bull market peak coincides with the aforementioned uptrend line, further reinforcing the significance of this level as a key reference point.
- Support at 4850: The S&P 500 found support at approximately 4850, which aligns with both the uptrend line and the 2021 bull market peak. The market bounced from this level.
Market Outlook and Trading Strategy
Worth suggests that the recent bounce from the 4850 support level has room to run. He implies a potentially bullish outlook in the short term, at least for traders.
Notable Quotes:
- "Messy. Sloppy. I guess the words that come to mind." - Carter Worth, describing the current market conditions.
- "...we've now sold off 20 plus percent." - Carter Worth, confirming the bear market territory.
- "...gone not randomly to the penny to a well-defined uptrend line that's in effect since the COVID low." - Carter Worth, emphasizing the precision of the technical analysis.
- "That also is exactly the same level as the uptrend." - Carter Worth, highlighting the confluence of the uptrend line and the 2021 bull market peak.
- "Now we have found support literally at that level, 4850 and bounced decently. I think the bounce has room to run." - Carter Worth, indicating a potential short-term bullish opportunity.
Synthesis/Conclusion:
The segment suggests that while the market has technically entered bear market territory, a key support level around 4850 on the S&P 500, defined by an uptrend line from the COVID low and the 2021 bull market peak, has held. This has led to a bounce, which Carter Worth believes has further upside potential, at least for short-term trading opportunities. The analysis relies heavily on technical charting and the identification of significant support and resistance levels.
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