Buy the Bag... Don't Be Caught Holding the Bag
By The Morgan Report
Key Concepts
- Junk Silver/Constitutional Silver: Pre-1965 US dimes, quarters, and half dollars made of 90% silver, valued for their divisibility and historical significance as "real money."
- Premiums/Discounts: The difference between the melt value of silver and the price of silver coins or bars.
- Financial Reset: A period of significant and potentially disruptive changes in the global financial system.
- Sound Money: Currency that is backed by a tangible asset, typically gold or silver, and is not subject to arbitrary inflation.
- Barter Items: Goods or services used for exchange in the absence of a stable currency.
- Green Energy Economy: The growing sector focused on renewable energy sources and sustainable technologies.
- Central Banks: Institutions that manage a state's currency, money supply, and interest rates.
Why Buying Junk Silver Makes Sense Now
David Morgan, from themorganreport.com, argues that buying "junk silver" (also known as constitutional silver) is a sensible strategy at the present time. He highlights its simplicity, trustworthiness, divisibility, and recognizability as key advantages. This type of silver represents "real money" from a period when America minted precious metal coins. Historically, premiums on junk silver have spiked during times of uncertainty, such as the Y2K event, suggesting its value as a potential barter item.
Analysis of Silver Premiums and Discounts
A chart presented from Franklin Sanders of The Money Changer illustrates the historical premiums on bags of silver over the years, from 2012 to the present. The data shows that for most of this 13-year period, there was a significant premium on silver bags. However, a notable anomaly began in 2023, where a discount emerged and has since "fallen off a cliff." This occurred while the silver price itself rose from approximately $25 to nearly $60. For instance, in 2020, when silver was around $20, the premium on bags was as high as $9. Morgan suggests this discount is unusual and questions how long it will last, positing that it is likely to revert to par or even see a large premium again, especially if a situation arises where small denominations of silver are advantageous for barter.
Recommendations for Starting with Silver
For individuals new to buying silver, Morgan recommends starting with a "bag or a half a bag or a quarter bag." He defines a full bag for a family of four as $1,000 face value, which equates to approximately 720 ounces. At current prices and considering potential discounts, this could cost around $40,000 (roughly 40 times face value). A quarter bag would then be approximately $10,000. Once an initial investment in constitutional silver is made, Morgan suggests that it makes more sense to acquire bars, rounds, or government-minted coins.
Other Notable Discussions and Mentions
- Wall Street Silver Interview: Morgan references an interview on Wall Street Silver where Ivan interviewed Tom Pella. Pella discussed the basics of a recent "power outage" event, quoting specific numbers (though not memorized by Morgan).
- Dean Noata Company Update: Morgan mentions a company from Dean Noata's reposted post that has been on their "spec list" for a long time. While it took longer than anticipated (six years instead of six months), the company appears to be making progress. Morgan plans to conduct an interview with Tom and/or Dean for premium members to provide a full update.
- Platinum Market: A good interview regarding the platinum market and its connection to the growing green energy economy is highlighted.
- Silver Sourcing and Central Bank Purchases: Morgan touches upon the sourcing of old silver into India and mentions data from the Financial Times. He also references an article from Zero Hedge titled "No Longer Gold's Quiet Sidecar, Silver Surges to Record Highs; China Demand Exasperates Squeeze," discussing central bank gold purchases.
Broader Economic Context and The Morgan Report
Morgan concludes by emphasizing the current economic climate, characterized by:
- US government debt approaching $37 trillion.
- The use of tariffs to balance trade.
- Shifting global supply chains.
- Persistent inflation.
- The quiet erosion of the dollar's value.
He posits that these factors indicate the early stages of a "financial reset." Morgan criticizes reliance on mainstream financial advice and headlines, suggesting that individuals could be blindsided by significant shifts. He promotes The Morgan Report as a resource that has helped investors for over 25 years by cutting through noise, tracking market drivers (precious metals, mining stocks, global debt, monetary policy), and providing strategies to protect and grow wealth during times of financial stress. The report aims to offer a clear view of future trends and actionable strategies in an environment of rising debt, unstable currencies, and economic uncertainty. He encourages listeners to visit themorganreport.com to download a free report and take control of their financial future.
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